Israel’s assassination campaign has led to the promotion of IRGC old-timers who are likely to prove more hostile to the U.S. and less nimble in negotiating an end to the war
From Sahel security recalibration to Iran war aftershocks, North Africa faces energy shocks, fiscal strain, and intensifying competition over influence.
State collapse, climate stress, and demographic pressures drive escalating violence and fragmentation across the Sahel, with mounting regional and global consequences
American attempts to restore navigation through the Strait of Hormuz are likely to exacerbate the current crisis. But a unilateral U.S. ceasefire would put pressure on Tehran to restore navigation on its own
