Product Types: Commentary

The EU’s Technocratic Trap in Libya: How Brussels Is Ceding the Mediterranean

How EU technocratic policy in Libya erodes influence, enabling rival powers to shape the country’s political and security landscape….

The Sovereignty Paradox: Why GCC Security Integration Remains Elusive

The Iran war, instead of encouraging more cooperation, appears to have caused the opposite as evidenced by the UAE’s imminent exit from OPEC and OPEC+….

Japan’s Tentative Entry Into a Shifting Global Arms Market

How the relaxation of Japanese arms export controls intersects with an evolving global arms trade marked by rising demand, emerging technologies, and shifting international partnerships….

The Time is Ripe for Next Steps on US-Japan Military Shipbuilding Cooperation

Shipbuilding is not merely an industry. It is a strategic capability that supports national defense, energy infrastructure, and maritime security….

Israel Cannot Achieve Normalization with Lebanon by Bombing It

An updated armistice agreement could pave the way for a serious conversation about border demarcation and an end to all wars that use South Lebanon as a launching pad….

Sudan: How One of the Most Severe Humanitarian Crises Became Marginalized in the Global System

How Sudan’s catastrophic war became a neglected crisis, exposing geopolitical selectivity and the erosion of global humanitarian response….

Beneath the Strait: Iran Could Threaten Gulf Data Centers, Undersea Cables

The conflict with Iran has exposed tech infrastructure to new acute threats, with Iranian drones striking data centers in Bahrain and the UAE….

Mali’s Post-Alignment Strategy: Sovereignty, Partnerships, and the Limits of Stabilization

How Mali’s shift in external partnerships has failed to improve security, governance, or economic conditions….

Turkey Also Tries to Mediate an End to the US-Israeli War on Iran

Given the failure of direct talks to resolve the conflict, the likeliest near-term outcome is intensified indirect diplomacy via multiple intermediaries including Pakistan, Egypt, and Oman in addition to Turkey….

The Motives and Constraints Behind Pakistan’s Mediation Between the US and Iran

Pakistan’s initiative is undermined by its own political limitations vis-à-vis both Iran and the United States….

The Impact of US-Sponsored Ukraine-Russia Talks on Moldova’s Security

How the mismatch between Moldova’s strategic posture and its security environment means any plausible outcome in Ukraine deepens Chisinau’s vulnerabilities….

Smuggling Sovereignty: What Arkenu Reveals About Libya’s Fragmented Oil State

How Libya’s fragmented governance enables oil revenue diversion through hybrid networks and what recent interventions signal for restoring state control….
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