Myanmar

Furthering research on the country’s civil-military relations, ethnic reconciliation, and geopolitical dilemmas

In Southeast Asia Research

Myanmar’s February 2021 coup was the latest chapter in the country’s long history of balancing complex internal politics and pulling in contradictory directions. While the coup upended the fragile balance of power between the military and civilian leadership, anticipating the country’s future peace, stability, and development requires more than ever objective understanding of the unsettled relationship between the two sides and its profound impact on all conflicts across the country.

This project analyzes Myanmar’s complex politics and uncertain future by unpacking the power dynamics at play between the military, the civilian opposition, ethnic armed groups, as well as external players like ASEAN and the West. The project builds on Stimson’s more than a decade of working on Burmese democratization, ethnic reconciliation, development, and external relations.

Policy Paper
In the third year since the coup in Myanmar, the resistance is evolving its funding, even as the junta targets those resources
Zachary Abuza

In Focus

Civil-Military Relations in Myanmar

The “Civil-Military Relations in Myanmar” series seeks to analyze the complex relationship between the civilian and military sides of the Burmese government and the implications for the country’s future peace and development. Since the founding of the country, the Burmese military, or Tatmadaw, has held a unique and privileged status across institutions of power. And despite movement toward democracy in the past decade, the relationship between the civilian and military sides remains deeply unsettled. This contest for power and the political, security, and constitutional crises it creates have had far-reaching effects on Myanmar’s political processes, its ongoing civil war, the Rohingya crisis, and regional peace and stability—a reality most recently and poignantly seen in the 2021 coup d’état staged by the Tatmadaw against the civilian government. The series brings together the expertise of leading experts on Myanmar, Southeast Asia, democratization, and policy to uncover the complex dynamics between the two sides. The series provides key insights and recommendations for disentangling the contentious relationship and charting a path forward for relevant stakeholders in Myanmar.

Latest

Issue Brief
A new registration law for political parties in Myanmar leaves them facing an uncertain future for democracy in the country
Anonymous
Explainer
Chin leaders in northwestern Myanmar have fostered unity and pushed towards the establishment of a new governing body
Zo Tum Hmung • John Indergaard
Policy Memo
The National League for Democracy must confront both its internal and external challenges to help Myanmar’s democratic movement overcome the junta
Myo Yan Naung Thein
Commentary
With sanctions on the rise, Myanmar’s military is increasingly under pressure and is turning to its few partners for additional support
Hunter Marston
Issue Brief
Myanmar’s National Unity Government hopes to cut off the military government’s revenue streams to tip the scales in favor of the resistance
Zachary Abuza
Commentary
The people of Myanmar question whether the Burma Act of 2022 has changed the U.S. approach to the country.
Sydney Tucker • Lian Bawi Thang
Resource
Observing how the United States has financially supported Myanmar since December 2022
Sydney Tucker
Policy Memo
For over two and a half years, ASEAN has struggled to create an effective policy on Myanmar
Sydney Tucker

News & Commentary

Commentary
With sanctions on the rise, Myanmar’s military is increasingly under pressure and is turning to its few partners for additional support
Hunter Marston
Commentary
The people of Myanmar question whether the Burma Act of 2022 has changed the U.S. approach to the country.
Sydney Tucker • Lian Bawi Thang
Commentary
Emerging experts on Myanmar reflect on what 2022 may bring for the severely embattled country.
Jason Li
Op-Ed
China has made the pragmatic decision to accept the coup, but that position is not without consequences.
Yun Sun
Op-Ed
Two factors will haunt China’s calculations as it navigates Myanmar’s new politics
Yun Sun
Op-Ed
China has an undeniable role in Myanmar’s peace process, but an ultimate resolution lies in Burmese hands.
Yun Sun
Op-Ed
China should distance itself from online gambling schemes that claim to be "private Chinese investments" in Myanmar's Kayin State.
Yun Sun

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