North Africa Regional Outlook: April 29, 2026

From large-scale coordinated attacks shaking Mali to mounting global energy volatility—highlighted by Goldman Sachs warnings of oil nearing $120—the Iran war is straining emerging markets and disrupting supply chains.
The EU’s Technocratic Trap in Libya: How Brussels Is Ceding the Mediterranean

How EU technocratic policy in Libya erodes influence, enabling rival powers to shape the country’s political and security landscape.
North Africa Regional Outlook: April 22, 2026

From Sudan war grinding into a prolonged regional crisis to the Iran war continuing to drive energy volatility, disrupt supply chains, and push Europe to reassess routes and energy security strategies across the Mediterranean.
Sudan: How One of the Most Severe Humanitarian Crises Became Marginalized in the Global System

How Sudan’s catastrophic war became a neglected crisis, exposing geopolitical selectivity and the erosion of global humanitarian response.
Reassessing Tunisia’s Strategic Importance for the United States

U.S. policy options to leverage Tunisia for regional security, economic stability, and Sahel-focused cooperation.
North Africa Regional Outlook: April 15, 2026

From the Sudan war deepening into a regional humanitarian and security crisis to the Iran war driving sustained energy shocks as well as Pope Leo XIV’s historic visit to Algeria —explore the latest developments shaping North Africa, the Mediterranean, and the Sahel.
Mali’s Post-Alignment Strategy: Sovereignty, Partnerships, and the Limits of Stabilization

How Mali’s shift in external partnerships has failed to improve security, governance, or economic conditions.
Smuggling Sovereignty: What Arkenu Reveals About Libya’s Fragmented Oil State

How Libya’s fragmented governance enables oil revenue diversion through hybrid networks and what recent interventions signal for restoring state control.