Featuring sober analysis from regional and Western experts on the Middle East’s structural and geopolitical issues. The contributors are not affiliated with the Stimson Center.
Given the failure of direct talks to resolve the conflict, the likeliest near-term outcome is intensified indirect diplomacy via multiple intermediaries including Pakistan, Egypt, and Oman in addition to Turkey
It is becoming increasingly likely that the war will end without any of its primary objectives having been fully achieved — a military success but strategic failure.
Israel’s assassination campaign has led to the promotion of IRGC old-timers who are likely to prove more hostile to the U.S. and less nimble in negotiating an end to the war
