The attack on an Indian military encampment at Uri, most probably from well-armed, well-trained cadres of a “proscribed” group based on the Pakistan side of the Kashmir divide, is the costliest since the 2008 Mumbai attacks. This attack was preceded by smaller-scale forays against Indian military targets. It comes at a time when Kashmiri Muslins are being pelted with buckshot by Indian security forces, and just before ritualistic denunciations at the UN General Assembly.

Uri definitively answers the question of whether India-Pakistan relations might possibly improve at a SAARC summit later this year. They won’t. What we don’t yet know is whether Uri will spark another major crisis between India and Pakistan.

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