North Africa Weekly: December 10, 2025

From Sudan’s worsening crisis and increasing jihadist violence in the Sahel to Libya’s evolving energy debates

By  Hafed Al Ghwell  •  Lana Bleik  •  Yusuf Can  •  Alexander Farley

From Sudan’s worsening crisis and increasing jihadist violence in the Sahel to Libya’s evolving energy debates — explore the latest developments shaping North Africa and the Sahel’s political, economic, and security landscapes.

From Sudan’s worsening crisis and increasing jihadist violence in the Sahel to Libya’s evolving energy debates — explore the latest developments shaping North Africa and the Sahel’s political, economic, and security landscapes.

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On Our Radar

The headlines shaping politics, security, and economics across North Africa and the Sahel.

ABC NEWS

Deadly conflict in the Sahel sends herders fleeing to Africa’s coastal cities

Expanding jihadist violence in the Sahel is forcing pastoralist communities from Burkina Faso and Mali to abandon their herds and seek precarious livelihoods in coastal hubs like Abidjan, straining urban services and deepening social vulnerability.

SMALL WARS JOURNAL

Approaching the War on Terror in the Sahel

An essay arguing that U.S. counterterrorism strategy has neglected the Sahel, calling for a recalibrated approach as ISIS- and al-Qaeda-linked groups expands across Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso amid a broader Trump-era shift toward transactional, inward-focused foreign policy.

NEWSGHANA

EU envoy calls Ghana partnership indispensable amid Sahel crisis

The EU’s Special Representative for the Sahel describes Ghana as an indispensable partner for regional stability, highlighting Accra’s diplomatic role, peacekeeping contributions, and importance for West Africa’s security architecture.

AL JAZEERA

Egypt’s economy stabilises but poverty challenges persist

The article notes that investment inflows and reforms have helped stabilize Egypt’s macroeconomic indicators, but warns that soaring prices, low wages, and limited social protection mean many Egyptians see modest improvement in daily living conditions.

REUTERS

Big hopes as Africa defence firms scramble for drone market at Egypt arms expo

African and international defense companies display drones and other high-tech systems at an arms exhibition in Egypt, underscoring how regional militaries are racing to adopt unmanned platforms amid shifting security threats.

ARAB NEWS

Egypt raises 2025 tourist target to nearly 19m as US market surges

Egyptian officials have raised their tourism target to almost 19 million visitors in 2025, citing robust growth from the US market and innovative marketing efforts as Cairo leans on tourism to boost foreign currency inflows.

DAILY SABAH

Libya rebukes Greek call to scrap maritime deal with Türkiye

Libya’s House of Representatives condemns Greek demands to annul its maritime delimitation agreement with Turkey, accusing Athens of interference in Libya’s internal affairs and defending the contested deal as sovereign.

NEWSFILE CORP

Libya Positions Itself at the Heart of Africa’s Gas Future as LAIGF 2025 Kicks Off in Tripoli

As the Libya Africa Investment and Gas Forum opens in Tripoli, Libyan authorities pitch the country as a key gas supplier and transit hub for African and Mediterranean markets, seeking new upstream and infrastructure investment.

WORLD BANK

World Bank supports Mauritania reforms to drive inclusive and sustainable growth

A new development policy operation backs Mauritania’s efforts to diversify its economy, strengthen governance, and improve social protection, with a view to making mining and natural resources translate into broader, more inclusive growth.

THE AFRICA REPORT

Cairo, Nairobi, Kigali: What sets Africa’s top three most attractive cities apart?

The piece compares Cairo, Nairobi, and Kigali as Africa’s most attractive cities for investment and talent, highlighting differences in infrastructure, governance, innovation ecosystems, and quality of life.

DEUTSCHE WELLE (DW)

Libya femicides prompt calls for stricter legislation

A spate of high-profile femicides in Libya has sparked public outrage and demands for stronger legal protections, better enforcement, and broader reforms to address gender-based violence.

ECOPORTAL

Germany and Africa team up for hydrogen

The article outlines emerging hydrogen partnerships between Germany and several African countries, focusing on green hydrogen projects, infrastructure plans, and debates about who benefits from the new value chains.

WALL STREET JOURNAL

Sudan Offers Russia Its First Naval Base in Africa

Sudan has reportedly offered Russia access to a Red Sea naval base, deepening Moscow’s military footprint in Africa and raising concerns among Western and regional powers about shifting security alignments.

BUSINESS INSIDER AFRICA

Africa takes control of its wealth, unlocking close to $1 trillion in assets

A feature on efforts by African states and institutions to better leverage sovereign assets, natural resources, and financial reserves, potentially unlocking hundreds of billions of dollars for development and infrastructure.

BLOOMBERG

Aid funding for UK-founded Africa markets agency turns to philanthropists

A UK-founded agency focused on deepening African capital markets is turning to philanthropic donors after shifts in official aid funding, illustrating how development finance vehicles are adapting to tighter government budgets.

THE GUARDIAN

African leaders push for recognition of colonial crimes and reparations

African heads of state press for colonial-era atrocities to be formally recognized and addressed through reparations, arguing that the continent still bears heavy social and economic costs from colonialism.

BUSINESS INSIDER AFRICA

Ghana joins Africa’s nuclear race, set to begin construction of first nuclear plant

Ghana moves forward with plans to build its first nuclear power plant, positioning itself within a small group of African countries pursuing civilian nuclear energy to meet rising electricity demand.

ARAB NEWS

Tunisia’s powerful UGTT union announces a nationwide strike on January 21

Tunisia’s main trade union UGTT calls a nationwide strike to protest economic conditions and government policies, underscoring growing tension between organized labor and President Kais Saied’s administration.

ASSOCIATED PRESS

Mali: Russia’s Africa Corps presence linked to abuses as refugees flee to Mauritania

AP reporting describes abuses attributed to Russia’s Africa Corps and allied forces in Mali and documents how civilians are fleeing into Mauritania, adding pressure on fragile border communities and aid systems.

ABC NEWS

European Union moves ahead with toughening migration system

The EU advances plan to tighten parts of its migration and asylum system, as mainstream parties seek to blunt far-right narratives and respond to political fallout from past migration crises.

TRIPOLI POST

Libya, Tunisia to strengthen digital tech transformation cooperation

Libyan and Tunisian officials agree to deepen cooperation on digital transformation, including cross-border tech initiatives, e-government, and capacity-building for startups and public institutions.

LE POINT

Tunisie: la colonie pénitentiaire du président Saied

A critical piece portraying Tunisia under President Saied as a kind of “penal colony,” citing mass arrests, shrinking freedoms, and the intimidation of political opponents and civil society.

BUSINESS INSIDER AFRICA

Nigeria’s planned $50 billion oil refinery just got a major green light

Nigeria’s authorities approve a landmark multi-billion-dollar refinery project, framed as crucial for reducing fuel imports, stabilizing domestic supply, and reshaping the country’s downstream sector.

THE ECONOMIST

Africa needs to generate more electricity

The article argues that solving Africa’s chronic power shortages is essential for growth, jobs, and industrialization, and assesses policy choices around grids, renewables, gas, and regional trade in electricity.

WORLD BANK

Algeria Economic Update: Responding to Climate Challenges and Supporting Sustainable Development – Fall 2025

The update highlights how Algeria is confronting rising climate risks while attempting to diversify its economy, improve social protection, and make public investment more sustainable.

REUTERS

Morocco to secure 60% of its water needs from desalination, minister says

Morocco’s water minister announces plans to meet roughly 60 percent of national water needs through desalination by 2030, reflecting how drought and climate pressures are reshaping infrastructure priorities.

AL JAZEERA

RSF claims seizure of key Heglig oil field in Sudan

The Rapid Support Forces assert they have captured the Heglig oil field, raising fears of further escalation and threatening a critical energy asset in Sudan’s South Kordofan province.

REUTERS

People fleeing violence in Sudan find little aid at Chad border

Sudanese refugees arriving in remote border areas of Chad face severe shortages of food, shelter, and basic services as aid agencies warn of overwhelmed capacity and growing needs.

REUTERS

WHO says over 100 killed in attacks on Sudan kindergarten and hospital

The World Health Organization reports that deadly attacks on a kindergarten and a hospital in Sudan have killed more than 100 people, underscoring the conflict’s brutality and disregard for civilian protection.

Reports & Analysis on the Region

Deeper dives from experts, think tanks, and research institutes.

COMMENTARY

How reconstruction will be Sudan’s next battlefield

Stimson Center North Africa Program Director Hafed Al-Ghwell writes for Arab News and argues that even if fighting subsides in Sudan, competition over reconstruction contracts, influence, and resources is likely to become the next arena of struggle among domestic factions and external powers.

COMMENTARY

Reality Dose: Libya’s False Unity

Stimson Center North Africa Program Director Hafed Al-Ghwell writes on how Libya’s unity is a political fiction masking entrenched fractures, rival power centers, and a decade of failed state-building.

COMMENTARY

Libya’s fractures drift toward permanence

A GIS Reports commentary describing how competing governments, militias, and institutions in east and west Libya have become more entrenched, complicating prospects for reunification and long-term stabilization.

REPORT

Continental Circular Economy Action Plan for Africa 2024–2034

The African Union’s action plan lays out a ten-year roadmap to promote circular-economy practices across Africa, from waste management and recycling to sustainable production, industrial policy, and green jobs.

REPORT

International Debt Report 2025

This World Bank International Debt Report 2025 provides a comprehensive, data-driven overview of external debt trends, dynamics, transparency, and country-by-country indicators for low- and middle-income countries over 2014–2024 to inform global development finance policy.

REPORT

The political economy of universal health coverage in Egypt


An in-depth analysis of Egypt’s attempt to roll out universal health coverage, examining financing, institutional constraints, and trade-offs between fiscal sustainability and equitable access to care.

REPORT

Gabès: A local mobilization with national consequence


This Noria Research case study looks at environmental and social mobilization in Gabès, Tunisia, showing how local activism around pollution and industrial policy reverberates at the national level.

POLICY ANALYSIS

Youth as catalysts for shaping Libya’s future: pathways for inclusion in national dialogue and vision-making


This Luiss Mediterranean Platform analysis emphasizes the importance of including Libyan youth in political dialogue and long-term vision-building, arguing that their exclusion risks entrenching conflict dynamics and governance gaps.

REPORT

Demography, geography and natural resources: geography, geopolitics and economic management – advantages and disadvantages


An exploration of how Egypt’s location, population distribution, and resource endowment shape its economic options, highlighting both structural advantages and policy failures.

POLICY ANALYSIS

Conflicts Drive Food Insecurity


An Africa Center for Strategic Studies analytical brief showing how armed conflicts across the Sahel, Horn, and Great Lakes regions are the primary drivers of food insecurity by disrupting farming, trade routes, and humanitarian access.

COMMENTARY

Little substance as COP30 sidesteps key decisions


North Africa Program Director Hafed Al Ghwell writes for Arab News on COP30’s inability to turn pressure into action, as countries offered weak pledges, diluted key texts, and sidestepped the core drivers of the crisis.

COMMENTARY

Realignment in the Maghreb: How Algeria is shaping Tunisia’s political trajectory


This Chatham House piece examines Algeria’s growing influence over Tunisia, arguing that Algiers has become a critical external actor shaping political decisions in Tunis at a moment of economic and institutional fragility.

COMMENTARY

Mali is at a turning point that risks a disastrous domino effect


An Atlantic Council assessment of Mali’s rapidly deteriorating security landscape, arguing that junta mismanagement and jihadist expansion risk triggering destabilization across coastal West Africa if left unchecked.

Upcoming Events

Key briefings and conferences to watch.

Watchlist 2026: Sino–African tensions, stolen elections, and more debt restructuring

An Oxford Economics webinar outlining key global and African risks for 2026, including rising China–Africa frictions, electoral instability, and a new wave of sovereign debt restructurings.

2026 IMF MENA Research Conference – “Rethinking MENA Integration in a Fast-Changing Global Environment”

An International Monetary Fund (IMF) announcement and call for papers for a research conference to be held June 29–30, 2026 at Mohammed VI Polytechnic University in Rabat, Morocco, inviting work on trade and financial integration, macroeconomic policy under new external shocks, digitalization, energy, and regional cooperation.

Atlantic Dialogues

The Policy Center for the New South is organizing the 14th edition of The Atlantic Dialogues, its annual high-level international conference, from December 11th to 13th in Rabat, Morocco.

Tune In

Hear the latest insights from regional experts.

A Conversation with H.E. Sabri Boukadoum, Ambassador of Algeria to the United States

The Stimson Center’s North Africa Program hosted Ambassador Sabri Boukadoum to discuss Algeria’s reforms, regional security, and U.S.–Algeria relations.

A Dialogue with H.E. Nadia Fettah Alaoui: Navigating Morocco’s Path to Growth and Resilience

Stimson Center’s North Africa Program hosted a conversation with H.E. Nadia Fettah Alaoui, Morocco’s Minister of Economy and Finance on the country’s economic agenda, global engagement, and relationship with the IMF and World Bank.

Why al-Qaeda’s Sahel branch is blocking fuel to Mali

This Al Jazeera podcast episode explains how al-Qaeda’s Sahel affiliate is using fuel blockades in Mali to squeeze the junta and consolidate control, and why this tactic has serious economic and humanitarian consequences.

Union for the Mediterranean (UfM)

Foreign ministers and senior officials from Mediterranean and EU countries gather at the 10th UfM Regional Forum 2025 to discuss regional security, economic cooperation, and connectivity, marking the 30th anniversary of the Barcelona Process and stressing the need for renewed multilateralism.

How Morocco’s Western Sahara gamble paid off | Mapped Out

A Deutsche Welle repot on how Morocco has managed to win increasing global support – by using its phosphate resources to foster long-term partnerships in Africa and striking deals with the US under Donald Trump.

Job Opportunities

Career moves, fellowships, and calls for applications—all in one place.

International Rescue Committee
Grants Coordinator (Bamako, Mali)
A role focusing on managing grant allocations and donor reporting in humanitarian operations—closing date: 19 Dec 2025.

SIPRI
Sahel–West Africa Researcher Position (Solna, Sweeden)
An announcement for a fully funded researcher post at SIPRI focused on Sahel and West Africa security dynamics, offering a 12-month research track.

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