The Arms Trade Treaty: Diversion Analysis Framework

An analytical tool for interested States and relevant stakeholders to enhance their ongoing efforts to prevent, detect, eradicate, and address diversion

By  Rachel Stohl Research Contributor

The diversion of conventional arms occurs in settings considered at peace, in armed conflict, or affected by armed violence. To identify the most effective ways to prevent such incidents, the key challenge lies in understanding all aspects of the problem and making an accurate context-specific diagnosis.

This Report, the third in a series from UNIDIR, Conflict Armament Research, and the Stimson Center, presents the Diversion Analysis Framework (DAF). The Framework has been designed as an analytical tool for interested States and relevant stakeholders to enhance their ongoing efforts to prevent, detect, eradicate, and address diversion. It is hoped that by gaining a better understanding of the problem, appropriate measures can be taken by each State to create an enabling environment to counter, not facilitate, diversion. The objective of this joint research endeavour is to enhance knowledge and facilitate dialogue among States to strengthen shared understanding on the impact of the ATT in addressing risks of diversion, and to identify avenues to further promote effective policies and practices under the Treaty.

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Strengthening shared understanding on the impact of the Arms Trade Treaty in addressing risks of diversion in arms transfers is a joint research endeavor by UNIDIR, Conflict Armament Research, and the Stimson Center. The objective of the research is to enhance knowledge and to facilitate dialogue among States to strengthen shared understanding on the impact of the Arms Trade Treaty in addressing risks of diversion in arms transfers, and to identify options and avenues for more effective policies and practices under the Treaty moving forward. The research aims to reflect on the challenges and to generate ideas to strengthen counter-diversion measures within the Treaty’s framework. Through a series of issue briefs, the research examines key concepts and thematic issues in preventing and mitigating the risk of diversion. The research will culminate in an assessment of progress made by States parties and their impact in addressing risks and challenges related to diversion in arms transfers. Findings from this research will contribute to tackling the challenges associated with poorly regulated arms transfers at the national, regional and multilateral levels, and to informing the development of good policies and practices to counter diversion under the Treaty’s framework and the relevant multilateral instruments.

This report was originally published by UNIDIR.

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