William Reinsch

Distinguished Fellow

This is the profile of a former staff member, affiliate, or intern. Biographical information is not maintained and may be out of date.

William Reinsch is a Distinguished Fellow with the Stimson Center, where he works principally with the Center’s Trade21 initiative. Reinsch served as President of the National Foreign Trade Council from April 2001 to May 2016. The NFTC, founded in 1914, is the oldest and largest business association dedicated solely to trade policy, export finance, international tax, and human resource issues. The organization represents some 200 companies through its offices in New York and Washington, D.C. As president, Reinsch led NFTC’s efforts in favor of open markets, in support of Eximbank and OPIC, against unilateral sanctions and in support of sound international tax policy, among many other international trade and tax issues of concern to U.S. business. From 2001 to 2016, Reinsch concurrently served as a member of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission. He is also an adjunct assistant professor at the University of Maryland School of Public Policy, teaching a course in globalization, trade, and development.

Prior to joining the NFTC, Reinsch served as the Under Secretary for Export Administration in the U.S. Department of Commerce. In that position, he administered and enforced the export control policies and anti-boycott laws of the U.S. government and monitored the condition of the nation’s defense industrial base. Prior to taking this position, Reinsch spent 20 years on Capitol Hill from 1973 to 1993, most of them as senior Legislative Assistant to the late Senator John Heinz and subsequently to Senator John D. Rockefeller IV.

He received a B.A. in International Relations from The Johns Hopkins University and an M.A. degree from The Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. He lives in Bethesda, Maryland with his wife and has two adult children.

Research & Writing

Commentary
Year In Review

The year just concluded consisted largely of bark rather than bite as far as trade is concerned. Although the president did pull out of TPP, other threats, including tariffs on Germany, China or Mexico, and pulling out of the WTO, KORUS and NAFTA, rema…

Commentary
Post-Ministerial Blues, or is it Reds?

I had planned this week to make some profound comments reflecting on the year past, but I can’t let a WTO Ministerial conference go by without saying a word or two about it. So, profundity will have to wait a bit. The most obvious thing to say about th…

Commentary
The False Choice of Free Trade vs. Protectionism

By William Reinsch For someone who labored in the weeds of trade policy for 40 years and who reads about it in the newspaper business section, having it now front page above the fold, along with numerous specialized publications devoted to it, is a bit…

Commentary
The Millennial Economy Part III: Global Value Chains and NAFTA

NAFTA is back in the news as negotiations were held in Mexico City last week. As expected, there were no major breakthroughs, and with none expected in December, it is clear governments are pushing serious talks into 2018 and possibly later as we appro…

Commentary
The Millennial Economy Part II: How Trump Wants to Change the World

The president’s trip to Asia provided an opportunity to lay out a coherent explanation of his trade policy. Intrepid reporter Doug Palmer summarized that in a Politico piece on November 10: “President Donald Trump’s tough speech on trade today heralds…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted on Trump, the Private Sector, and NAFTA

  Read the article here. 

Commentary
The Millennial Economy Part I: Global Value Chains

I don’t usually do commercials in these weekly pieces, but something important happened a few weeks ago that deserves a shout-out — the October 20 launch of the U.S. Global Value Chain Coalition.  Composed primarily of retailers like Macy’s and Ta…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch Quoted on Preview of Trump Visit to Asia and Trade Deals

  Read the article here. 

Commentary
China, Again

By William Reinsch Since the NAFTA negotiations are on vacation for another week, I’m going to take a break from that as well and talk about my longtime favorite subject, China. Thanks to the good offices of Matt Goodman and the Center for Strategic an…

Stimson in the News
William Resinch Quoted on NAFTA and the U.S. Trade Deficit with Mexico

  Read the article here. 

Commentary
Trade: The Scapegoat for America’s Social Problems?

There was an odd flap a couple weeks ago after the leak of slides from Peter Navarro arguing that a “weakened manufacturing base,” presumably caused by trade, has caused a wide variety of social problems including not only the expected factory closings…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch Quoted on NAFTA Negotiations

Read the article here. 

Commentary
A Modern Fable for NAFTA

By William Reinsch Once upon a time there was an ant and a grasshopper, and they were friends. It was summer, and the grasshopper was having a grand time jumping and playing with his other friends while the ant was very busy storing up food and fuel fo…

Commentary
There’s a Silver Cloud in Every Lining

By William Reinsch One of my favorite malapropisms growing up was, “There’s a silver cloud in every lining,” a twisted reminder that sometimes good news comes wrapped in smelly old newspaper. That’s a possibility that should be considered if the presid…

Commentary
Why Vote for a Copy When you can get the Original?

By William Reinsch This week I want to elaborate on a point I made in August regarding the Democrats’ trade policy statement, “A Better Deal on Trade and Jobs.” It is clear that trade will continue to be a front-page issue during the Trump administrati…

Commentary
Playing the Blame Game on Trump and Trade

By William Reinsch   Just when everyone is frothing at the mouth over what the Trump administration is doing on trade, along come some things that are not Trump’s fault (at least not yet). For example, just a few days ago the Commerce Department p…

Commentary
A Series of Unfortunate Events (Lemony Snicket strikes again)

By William Reinsch We seem to be falling into an unfortunate pattern of trade events lately. First, somebody in the White House dreams up an astonishingly bad idea which is then promptly leaked by its opponents, also in the White House, which in turn s…

Commentary
William Reinsch interviewed on North Korea Sanctions

Fmr. National Foreign Trade Council President and Kelley Drye Sr. Int’l Trade Adviser William Reinsch and CNBC’s Rick Santelli discuss trade policy. Watch the interview here. 

Stimson in the News
Bill Reinsch Interviewed on Executive Orders for North Korea Sanctions

Watch the interview here. 

Commentary
Dealing with the Devil?

By William Reinsch   We swamp dwellers were surprised over the past two weeks to see the president confound his own party and make a deal with the Democrats on temporarily funding the government and raising the debt limit and then entertain deals…

Commentary
Taking Stock

It is now about eight months into the Trump presidency, and it’s time to take stock of his trade policy and accomplishments so far. The short answer is the policy is incoherent and the accomplishments few, but both deserve a deeper dive. The Trump trad…

Commentary
Jobs to People or People to Jobs?

By William Reinsch I’ve said before that the current administration provides a target-rich environment for discussing trade issues, but every once in a while a moment comes along where there is a gap in the news. As I write this we are between NAFTA ro…

Commentary
It’s Not Nice to Mess with the Market

By William Reinsch Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown made an important observation the other day in an interview. He noted the increase in steel imports since the president began threatening to cut them off (up 21.7% YTD from the same period in 2016) and made…

Commentary
Apple Pie and Transparency? I Think Not

By William Reinsch I have a confession to make. I’m not a big fan of transparency. Even though it is routinely up there with apple pie as a beloved staple of Americana, I think it is a mistake to accord it much importance, particularly in the context o…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch Quoted on NAFTA

In 1994, with trade fights raging over the North American Free Trade Agreement and the World Trade Organization, the White House faced an urgent problem: It was about to lose most of its power to block exports for national security reasons. The decades…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch Quoted on US-China Trade Policy

BEING tough on China was a constant theme of President Donald Trump’s election campaign. On August 14th he had another chance to wield his presidential pen to show that he is making good on his promises—in this case of a “zero-tolerance policy on intel…

Commentary
China, Again

By William Reinsch I had planned this week to write about something else, but the Trump administration’s action on China prompts me to return to what has long been one of my favorite topics. As those of you reading this know, the president on August 14…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch Quoted on NAFTA Negotiations

During the 1992 presidential campaign, independent candidate Ross Perot, a Texas billionaire with a gift for folksy phrases, put an obscure trade deal between the U.S., Canada and Mexico smack into the heat of the American political debate. Click here…

Commentary
Boy, Do My Feet Hurt

By William Reinsch The past few months I have spent most of my time in this column criticizing the Trump administration for various things it has done or said — and occasionally complimented it for not doing some of the things it said.  Fair play,…

Commentary
The Return of the Pig

By William Reinsch Last week I wrote about the CED talks with the China and the implications of their apparent failure. I ended up rather blithely recommending that we needed a strategy rather than a succession of one-off transactional negotiations tha…

Commentary
China: Keeping the Lipstick off the Pig

By William Reinsch Last week’s CED session with China was surprising because it avoided the standard outcome of these things — a long list of minor accomplishments which are hailed as significant breakthroughs. In other words, instead of putting lipsti…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch Quoted in CNBC on Trade Negotiations Between US and China

Got rice? That’s what China, the world’s largest consumer of rice, is now asking the U.S. For the first time ever, Asia’s economic giant will allow imports of American rice, the U.S. Department of Agriculture announced Thursday. That comes as a welcome…

Commentary
The Challenges Facing the New NAFTA Negotiation

By William Reinsch Two weeks ago I talked in general terms about some of the forces at play in the looming NAFTA negotiation. This week let’s take a closer look at some of the likely issues. These seem to fall into four groups: new stuff, the stuff ind…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch Interviewed on CNBC on US-China Trade

View the interview here.

Commentary
Sanctions: The Never Ending Story

By William Reinsch Those of you who have followed what I have said and done over the years know that I have long been an opponent of unilateral sanctions. I learned that working for John Heinz in the Senate who thought they were almost always a lose-lo…

Commentary
Missed Opportunities

By William Reinsch I had planned to make some further comments on the NAFTA negotiations this week, but since it is so close to the date the administration must send Congress its detailed negotiating objectives, I decided to wait for that to occur befo…

Commentary
What Do We Do about NAFTA?

By William Reinsch A few weeks ago someone asked me to opine, in 200 words or less, whether NAFTA had “worked.” I pointed out that that question has been debated for the past 23 years, and whole books have been written about it. But this is 2017, and d…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in Reuters on tariffs

G20 leaders will discuss steel overcapacity at this week’s summit in Germany, European officials said, as tensions rise over U.S. President Donald Trump’s plan to use a Cold War-era law to restrict steel imports for national security reasons. -snip- Wi…

Commentary
Managing Change

By William Reinsch Several weeks ago I spent the good part of a day at the Seventh Annual Summit on the Economy, put on by the Economic Innovation Group and the Governor’s Woods Foundation (one of the joys of semi-retirement is time to do this sort of…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in LA Times on the risks of steel tariffs

President Trump was standing on the banks of the Ohio River, and as barges loaded with West Virginia coal floated by, he noted that half the United States’ steel is produced within 250 miles and told the crowd that soon “the steel folks are going to be…

Commentary
Steel 232 – and Another Thing, or Two

By William Reinsch In cranking out last week’s column about the steel section 232 investigation I left out two points that are important, largely because there was no room for them. Since the issue lingers on — and I continue to believe it will take lo…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch Quoted in Bloomberg Businessweek on Trade and the US Solar Industry

Ten years ago an engineering professor at Georgia Tech started a company outside Atlanta with the hope of manufacturing solar panels in America. And for a while it worked. The company, Suniva, grew into one of the largest panel makers in the U.S.,…

Commentary
National Security Import Threats – the Latest Trade Tool

By William Reinsch The new hot issue in the trade world is the imminent arrival on the president’s desk of recommendations for action in the pending national security (section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962) investigation involving steel. While…

Commentary
NAFTA: Don’t Expect a Short, Smooth Train Ride

By William Reinsch Authors of novels sometimes say that the characters write themselves — they speak to the author and tell her what to say. The result is that the book often does not end up taking the path the author envisioned in the beginning. So it…

Commentary
Trump Dumps Paris?

By William Reinsch This week brought unhappy reports that the president has decided to pull the U.S. out of the climate change agreement. If the reports prove accurate — the timing, I suppose, is appropriate since we’re heading into what will likely be…

Commentary
NAFTA: TPP in Disguise?

By William Reinsch It now appears that after a good bit of drama, the NAFTA path is becoming clear, at least as far as process is concerned. The required notification letter has been sent, which means that formal negotiations can begin after August 16….

Commentary
On US-China Trade Policy: Bring on the Chickens!

By William Reinsch Two weeks ago Secretary of Commerce Ross announced the first deliverables of the 100 day action plan with China. Hopefully, they will not be the last, because they are pretty thin gruel, and — more important, they miss the point. Let…

Commentary
Is the World Slowing Down?

By William Reinsch On May 8, the ever-resourceful Robert Samuelson produced another thoughtful column for the Washington Post. This one discussed an article by Ruchir Sharma of Morgan Stanley in the current issue of Foreign Affairs. In it, Sharma concl…

Commentary
Trump: Squirrel or Toad?

By William Reinsch I started to write a comment on President Trump’s first 100 days last week but then put it aside because the NAFTA follies at the end of April were simply too tempting to pass up. Now that he has passed his 110th day, I want to get b…

Commentary
Trade Follies

By William Reinsch I had mostly written this week’s column — a piece on President Trump’s first 100 days — and then last week’s multiple fiascos rolled out, so I decided to put the 100 days aside and focus on the fiascos instead. There are two iss…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in Bloomberg on Peter Navarro

As he stepped onto the stage at the annual meeting of the National Association for Business Economics, Peter Navarro knew he was facing a tough crowd—or what passes for one in the staid world of the social sciences. It was March 6, Day 46 of Donald Tru…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in Bloomberg on Trump’s ‘Buy American’ Rule

A directive requiring U.S. pipeline companies to use American steel and iron in their projects is testing President Donald Trump’s ability to keep his promises to two industries on opposing sides of the issue. -snip- The ultimate outcome is more likely…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in La Rampa di Napoli on NAFTA Renegotiation

John McCain, R-Arizona, had expressed opposition to a withdrawal from NAFTA. That sting was felt by those who saw the maquiladoras lined up along the border between the United States and Mexico. Meanwhile, those fortunate enough to get a job in these f…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in Politico on Trump’s Agriculture Policy

Tomorrow marks 100 days in the White House for President Donald Trump, and it took 95 of them to get Sonny Perdue confirmed as Agriculture secretary. Perdue was announced as Trump’s pick on the eve of Inauguration Day, so for agriculture, the story of…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in The Los Angeles Times on NAFTA

It seemed that the Trump administration was planning to end the North American Free Trade Agreement on Wednesday, after his aides sent word that they’d prepared such an executive order. By Thursday morning, the president himself reversed that…

Commentary
To Invest or Not to Invest

By William Reinsch Looking ahead at possible Congressional trade activity later this year, the list seems fairly short with one exception. The list is not short because of lack of things going on in the administration, but because it will take some mon…

Commentary
Can the Center Hold?

By William Reinsch This is not a new topic. It comes up in the commentariat every few years, but the recent health care debacle makes it timely once again — and, as always in this column, relevant to trade. The topic is how to run Congress — from the p…

Commentary
Who Won the US-China Summit? Nobody.

By William Reinsch Well, the U.S.-China summit has come and gone without much more than a ripple in the news stream. True, it was overshadowed by the missiles launched against Syria and by Judge Gorsuch’s confirmation vote, but even without those crowd…

Stimson in the News
Nate Olson, William Reinsch, and Yun Sun quoted in U.S. News & World Report on Trump and China

Senior government delegations led by U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping were initially tight-lipped about the results of their two-day meeting last week at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida. -snip- “To my understanding, as…

Commentary
When Two ‘Wrongs’ Make a ‘Right’

By William Reinsch Today’s topic — and title — come from Steve Lamar at the American Apparel and Footwear Association who suggested it after reading something I told Politico referring to the administration’s draft letter to the Congress on i…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in The Los Angeles Times on Trump’s NAFTA Revamp

Far from the sweeping trade overhaul that Donald Trump promised on the campaign trail, his administration is considering a surprisingly modest revamp of the North American Free Trade Agreement, according to a draft letter provided to Congress. -snip- W…

Commentary
Who’s Sorry Now?

By William Reinsch In a way, this column is too early because it’s talking about things that haven’t happened yet. But I can’t resist setting up an opportunity later on to use my four favorite words: “I told you so.” (People in the commenting…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in Bloomberg Quint on Trump’s Yuan Manipulation Allegations

(Bloomberg) — While President Donald Trump’s personal view is that China is manipulating its currency for a trade advantage, his Treasury will make an official determination next month. -snip- “It’s true the administration has proved unexpectedly caut…

Commentary
Was the Trans-Pacific Partnership Bad for the US?

By William Reinsch Abandoning TPP was a mistake. President Trump’s decision to dump the Transpacific Partnership (TPP) will prove to be an historic mistake for both geopolitical and economic reasons. President Obama joined the TPP talks because it was…

Commentary
Bilateral, Shmilateral

By William Reinsch An unexpected, at least by me, turn of events in the trade policy landscape is the Trump administration’s announced preference for bilateral rather than plurilateral (TPP) or multilateral (WTO) negotiations. While it is encourag…

Commentary
Changing the Way America Counts the Trade Deficit?

By William Reinsch Over the past several weeks we have witnessed an odd kerfluffle over how to calculate the trade deficit. It began with a report, subsequently denied, that the Trump administration was considering excluding reexports from the trade de…

Commentary
Economic Nationalism

By William Reinsch On Oscar night 2017 I found myself recalling the same night in 1999, when Judi Dench won Best Supporting Actress for the eight minutes she spent playing Queen Elizabeth I in Shakespeare in Love. One of her memorable scenes was leavin…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in The Christian Science Monitor on Mexico and NAFTA

FEBRUARY 28, 2017 —Threatened by President Trump’s proposed 30 percent border tax, Mexico said it is not afraid of a tough negotiation. -snip- “[Trump] will be faced with the choice of walking away and doing something drastic, or essentially foldi…

Commentary
Do Trade Deficits Matter?

By William Reinsch The trade deficit figure for all of 2016 arrived earlier this month, which provides the annual opportunity to think for a few moments about what it means. The deficit was $502.3 billion, an increase of less than 0.5% from the previou…

Commentary
Another Take on Immigration

By William Reinsch In the past I have written passionately about immigration, because I believe immigrants are America’s future just as they have been our past. Virtually all of us came from somewhere else, and it was those forebears whose hard work an…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in The Hill on US-Japanese Trade Talks

The Trump administration will take its first step this week toward crafting a bilateral trade deal with Japan, an agreement that is likely to face significant hurdles. -snip- “Even keeping Japanese agriculture concessions in TPP may be difficult becaus…

Commentary
What Goes Around Comes Around

By William Reinsch John Maynard Keynes famously said, “In the long run, we’re all dead,” addressing the chronic dilemma economists face in sorting out short term from long-term consequences of policy actions. You can infer from his comment that economi…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in The Hill on US-UK Trade

A free trade agreement between the United States and United Kingdom could be coming, but it is likely to take a while. -snip- “And that’s only two of a significant number of hot-button issues that would have to be resolved,” said William Reinsch, a tra…

Commentary
Schoolyard Bullies: The US vs Mexico

By William Reinsch It appears the U.S. has a president who continues to pick fights with anybody who disagrees with him. Since I write about trade, I’ll put aside the fight with the National Park Service over crowd size or with the media over almost ev…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in Christian Science Monitor on NAFTA

JANUARY 26, 2017 —For years, Donald Trump has insisted that international trade is a high-stakes contest that the United States perennially loses. Now that he is president, he is moving quickly to try and reverse the way the nation plays its trade…

Commentary
Stimson Statements: Olson, Reinsch Analyze US Withdrawal from TPP

In the wake of President Donald J. Trump signing an executive action today that withdrew the United States from the negotiating process of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) — a trade agreement between the U.S. and 11 Pacific Rim countries —…

Commentary
A Trade Perspective on Trump’s Inaugural Address

By William Reinsch I was going to write about something else this week, but President Trump’s inaugural address compels me to comment on that instead. It was not your typical address focused on optimism and national unity. The fact that it tracked his…

Commentary
A Fork Stuck in the Road

By William Reinsch Green Day’s lyrics perhaps best describe the trade landscape we currently face, “Another turning point, a fork stuck in the road.” Today’s column is about choices and their consequences — consequences that sometimes occur long after…

Commentary
Help Wanted on Manufacturing Jobs

By William Reinsch Last week I discussed my confusion about the actual state of the U.S. economy. My conclusion was that while it may not be as good as the Democrats say it is, it is almost certainly better than what Donald Trump said it was….

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in Morning Consult on Commerce Department

The people holding the three major trade-related positions in the incoming Trump administration will help form a barrier between the president-elect and trade enthusiasts in other economic appointments, according to several analysts. -snip- T…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in Wall Street Journal on Import Tariffs

Workers at a struggling paper mill in rural Madison, Maine, cheered in 2015 when the U.S. government slapped an import tariff on a type of magazine paper made in Canada. -snip- “The lesson is the same one we’ve seen many times,” said William Reinsch, w…

Commentary
The Glass is Half Full! Or Half Empty!

By William Reinsch I confess. I’m confused. Certainly not for the first time — it happens more often than I admit. During the recent campaign we heard two widely varying views of the U.S. economy. To Donald Trump, things were terrible and getting worse…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in Politico on Private Sector Announcements and Investments

NEW YORK — Nearly a month before Donald Trump won the White House, Japanese conglomerate SoftBank pledged to invest billions of dollars in the U.S. economy. -snip- “The lesson for companies is it’s better to just shut up and go with the flow…

Commentary
The Importance of Being Certain

By William Reinsch The recent episode involving Carrier sheds some light on how a President Trump will govern. He clearly sees himself as a problem solver once he finds out about a problem. A company is going to leave town? Ok, let’s sit down and…

Commentary
Transition Follies

By William Reinsch Having watched presidential transitions dating back to Jimmy Carter, two things appear certain when the change is from one party to the other: The winners always declare they have a mandate for change. Everything the preceding admini…

Commentary
The Two Faulty Assumptions of President-elect Trump’s Trade Policy

By William Reinsch I’ve delayed commenting on the election, but I do want to make some general comments about the incoming administration’s likely trade philosophy and how they might implement it. A more detailed discussion of specific policy initiativ…

Stimson in the News
Bill Reinsch op-ed in Washington International Trade Association on the future of trade in the US

Last week I discussed the rise of the Millennials and the implications for trade policy. Today I’d like to expand that and look at the impact on partisan politics. Over the past 150 years, America’s two main political parties’ positions on tr…

Commentary
A Transatlantic Springboard for a New Trade Policy?

Editor’s note: This analysis is part of 2017 Presidential Inbox — an ongoing Stimson Center series examining the major global challenges and opportunities the Trump administration faces during its first 100 days in office. Click here to read the full s…

Commentary
Back to the Future on Trade?

By William Reinsch:  Editor’s Note: This is the third in a series of three pieces examining demographic trends and their impact on the global economy. Read Part I: No Country for Old Men? Demography’s Impact on the Global Economy,” and Part I…

Stimson in the News
Bill Reinsch quoted in Politico on Wilbur Ross as candidate for Commerce Secretary

Billionaire investor Wilbur Ross is President-elect Donald Trump’s leading candidate for Commerce Secretary, multiple sources told POLITICO. Ross, 78, is the founder of the private equity firm WL Ross & Co., known for restructuring failed companies…

Stimson in the News
Bill Reinsch quoted in Politico on the election’s impact on the TPP

THE ELECTION DAY OUTCOMES THAT COULD AFFECT TPP: Tonight’s election results may be about offices that aren’t going to change hands until early next year, but their outcomes could heavily influence what happens to the TPP before the end of this adm…

Commentary
Into the Great Wide Open: How Millennials Look at Trade

By William Reinsch Editor’s Note: This is the second in a series of three pieces examining demographic trends and their impact on the global economy. Last week I wrote about demography and the opportunity worker-deficient nations have to put themselves…

Stimson in the News
Bill Reinsch quoted in Politico on Hillary Clinton’s new “trade prosecutor”

After Obama the negotiator, get ready for Clinton the enforcer. The Democratic presidential nominee is promising to appoint a new “trade prosecutor” to go after countries that violate global trade rules, elevating enforcement from a second-rung status…

Stimson in the News
Bill Reinsch quoted in Sputnik News on Chinese Americans’ support of Trump

MOSCOW (Sputnik) — With just a few days remaining until the November 8 presidential election, Trump is narrowing the gap with Clinton, according to the latest opinion polls. According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Mo…

Stimson in the News
Bill Reinsch quoted in Sputnik News on Trump and Clinton trade deal politicies

MOSCOW (Sputnik) — On other issues, be it the US role in international affairs or environmental policies, Republican nominee Donald Trump and his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton are standing the world apart, but their views on trad…

Commentary
No Country for Old Men? Demography’s Impact on the Global Economy

Editor’s Note: This is the first of three pieces examining global demographic trends and their impact on the global economy. By William Reinsch:  One of the relatively untold stories of economic policy is the decisive role demography plays in how…

Stimson in the News
Bill Reinsch quoted in Politico on Asia-Pacific nations and the TPP

JAPAN’S TPP MOVES PUT PRESSURE ON U.S.: The United States’ inability to move forward on the TPP isn’t stopping other members of the pact from going ahead and trying to ratify it themselves. A Japanese embassy aide said Tuesday that government lead…

Stimson in the News
Bill Reinsch quoted in Politico on the Black Lives Matter movement and the TPP

The Obama administration will face an unexpected adversary as it gears up for what could be a blockbuster lame-duck fight over the Trans-Pacific Partnership: the Black Lives Matter movement. -snip- “There are groups that are going to pay a lot of close…

Commentary
A Case for Free Trade Agreements

By William Reinsch:  Earlier this week I had an opportunity to participate in a debate at Brookings. The proposition was: Free trade deals have been a net positive for working Americans. I was on the affirmative team. The following are excerp…

Commentary
Trade and the Global Campaign

By William Reinsch:  In the heat of the presidential trade debate, one irony seems to have escaped both participants and observers, and that is while trade may not be helping anybody here — which is highly debatable — it is incontestably helping m…

Commentary
The Challenge of Intellectual Property Protection

By William Reinsch:  Sometimes things you think are obvious turn out to not be so simple. You would think that there would be a broad consensus that protecting intellectual property – patents, trademarks, trade secrets, and the like – is a go…

Commentary
What to Do About Steel

By William Reinsch:  Catching up on my summer reading, I was struck by Robert Samuelson’s August 8 column in the Washington Post, titled, “The (mostly false) globalization story.” I’m a big admirer of Samuelson, even though he’s not THE Samuelson…

Commentary
Trade Adjustment Assistance: Part II

By William Reinsch:  In my previous column on Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA), I took the coward’s way out and postponed any actual suggestions for improvement until later. Later has now arrived, and I need to fulfill my commitment by looking at…

Commentary
A Closer Look at Trade Adjustment Assistance

By William Reinsch: Over the years Trade Adjustment Assistance, or TAA, has become a standard part of the trade wonk’s vocabulary. The program has had its ups and downs. The Reagan Administration tried hard to kill it; the George H. W. Bush Administrat…

Commentary
Now Here’s a Novel Idea

By William Reinsch: One of the themes of this year’s election cycle, not to mention the last two or three, is gridlock. Congress can’t get anything done. All it does is kick the can down the road through stop gap measures, temporary reauthori…

Stimson in the News
Bill Reinsch quoted in Politico on Pacific trade deal

Donald Trump has vowed to kill the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal — and as president he’d be empowered to stop the agreement even if Congress passes it. -snip- “In a way, it would almost be worse to pass it and renege, than not to pass it in the…

Stimson in the News
Bill Reinsch cited in DTN The Progressive Farmer on TPP

The possible consideration of legislation to ratify the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) pact in a lame-duck session of Congress was dealt a new blow when Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., again suggested it is not the cards. -snip- McConne…

Commentary
Making Globalization Work to America’s Advantage

By William Reinsch: While there has been a lot of discussion about trade during the campaign, particularly TPP, there has been somewhat less talk about the underlying force of globalization that has brought us to where we are today. Trump has made refe…

Stimson in the News
Bill Reinsch quoted in World Trade Online on Clinton and Salazar

Former National Foreign Trade Council President William Reinsch finds opposition to Hillary Clinton’s choice of a transition team chief over his trade views “profoundly depressing.” Writing for the Stimson Center’s Trade 21 Initiative , where he is a d…

Commentary
Litmus Tests on TPP?

By William Reinsch: Apparently trade and TPP are inescapable these days. Last week the Clinton campaign announced that former senator and Secretary of the Interior Ken Salazar would chair her transition team. This immediately produced an outcry from th…

Commentary
Inequality Revisited

By William Reinsch:  It had become increasingly common, even before current campaign cycle, for politicians to express concern about growing inequality in the United States. To oversimplify, the public perception was that the rich were getting ric…

Commentary
Are Attacks on Investor-State Dispute Settlement Justified?

By William Reinsch:  One of the most frequently attacked elements of trade agreements and bilateral investment treaties (BITs) is so-called investor-state dispute settlement, or ISDS. This acronym sounds suspiciously like ISIS and is regarded pret…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in Politico on potential trade promotion authority renewal

TRUMP TALKS ECONOMY IN THE MOTOR CITY: Donald Trump is in Detroit today, where he’s expected to lay out his economic agenda. Trump’s trade advisers tell Pro Trade to expect the Republican nominee to touch heavily on trade during his speech, to be…

Commentary
Does Trade Really Kill Jobs?

By William Reinsch: Now that the conventions are over and the platforms decided — not that anyone will read or remember them — the serious march to November 8 begins. People who have not been paying attention for the past year or so will begin to focus…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in the Los Angeles Times on the Limited Success of Chinese Tariffs

A key plank in Donald Trump’s economic platform is to get tough on trade, especially with imported Chinese goods, which the Republican presidential nominee wants to slap with a 45% tariff. -snip- Still, William Reinsch, a trade…

Commentary
A Trade War on the Convention Floor?

By William Reinsch:  I have previously commented on the mixed feelings I have about trade policy suddenly being in the national spotlight. It’s great to see your life’s work appear on the main stage, but when you’re the villain rather than the her…

Commentary
Something We Can Actually Do about Trade

By William Reinsch:  Much of the trade debate this election year has focused on how trade policy and trade agreements have failed our workers: how income inequality continues to grow, and how the alleged benefits of trade have passed the workers b…

Commentary
Trade and Human Rights

By William Reinsch:  Today’s discussion is inspired by the recent letter from 27 members of Congress to the president asking him to reopen the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement to negotiate better protections for LGBT individuals….

Stimson in the News
Nate Olson and William Reinsch quoted in American Shipper on Brexit and Trade Implications

   The United Kingdom’s vote to leave the European Union last week could impact more than just trade with the UK, according to the nonprofit public policy institute the Stimson Center.    The so-called “Brexit” may have implications…

Stimson in the News
Nate Olson and William Reinsch quoted in Financial Post on Possible British Talent and Capital Decline After Brexit

The same forces that helped build London into a global financial superpower now appear to be lining up against it as the dust settles from last week’s Brexit vote. Long viewed as a top destination for bankers and businesses seeking a gateway to Europe,…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in Bloomberg on Brexit and U.S. Exporters

For U.S. exporters already dealing with multiple sets of regulations, duties and tariffs across the globe, the post-Brexit world is a mess that will take years to sort out. In the decades since the European Union was created, American exporters have, w…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in Politico on Future U.S.-U.K. Trade Deal After Brexit

A new two-way trade deal between the U.S. and one of its oldest allies could rise from the ashes of the United Kingdom’s exit from the European Union and the already-foundering EU-U.S. talks. President Barack Obama reassured the world Friday that…

Stimson in the News
Nate Olson and William Reinsch quoted in American Journal of Transportation on Brexit and Trade Implications

In light of the U.K.‘s vote to leave the EU, experts from the nonpartisan Stimson Center released the following statements and are available for comment on the implications that the Brexit vote could have on trade — including the Transatlantic Trade an…

Commentary
Brexit — An Obituary and an Opportunity

By William Reinsch: Last week the British looked the future squarely in the eye — and voted to run away and hide. The victors in the “leave” campaign said June 23rd would go down in history as their Independence Day, completely missing the point that t…

Commentary
Stimson Experts Analyze Brexit’s Implications on Trade with U.S.

In light of the U.K.’s vote to leave the EU, experts from the nonpartisan Stimson Center released the following statements on the implications that the Brexit vote could have on trade — including the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP…

Commentary
Why We Don’t Need a Moratorium on Trade Deals Like the TPP

By William Reinsch:  On Sunday, Paul Blustein, a distinguished journalist formerly with the Washington Post, published a piece titled, “Why We Need a Moratorium on Trade Deals Like the TPP.”  He makes many good points in it but neverthel…

Commentary
The End of the Factory and Why Trade Policy Should Care

By William Reinsch:  Michael Schuman had an interesting piece in Bloomberg View last week that deserves some discussion. In brief, he analyzed the decline of manufacturing jobs in the United States, compared the decline to gains in other…

Commentary
What Is to be Done on Trade?

By William Reinsch:  These are famous words in Russia — the title of one of Lenin’s most prominent manifestos. Having just been in Russia for the first time last week, I was a bit surprised to see them popping up so frequently in conversation — no…

Stimson in the News
William Reinsch quoted in American Shipper on national security

   President Obama made his first official visit to Vietnam last week to promote free trade, witness the signing of an order from a Vietnamese airline for 100 Boeing 737 airliners and lift a ban on arms sales to the Southeast Asian nation fou…

Commentary
Trade’s Perfect Storm

By William Reinsch: One thing that has become obvious in the presidential campaign is that trade is front and center as an issue. For those of us who have spent our professional careers working on the subject, this ought to be good news. Finally “our”…

Commentary
Hillary Clinton’s Moment on Trade

By William Reinsch:  Like just about everybody else in the presidential campaign, with the notable and courageous exception of John Kasich, Hillary Clinton has come out against the pending Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement and has also tou…

Commentary
Trumped on Trade

By William Reinsch:  Now that Donald Trump appears nearly certain to be the Republican nominee for president, you can expect a lot more attention being paid to the details of what he really thinks about the important issues of the day. Polling sug…

Stimson in the News
Bill Reinsch cited in Politico on Trade21 initiative

STIMSON WELCOMES REINSCH: Former National Foreign Trade Council President Bill Reinsch has joined the Stimson Center as a distinguished fellow, the center announced Monday. Reinsch will participate in the nonpartisan think tank’s Trade in the 21st…

Announcement
William A. Reinsch Joins Stimson Center as Distinguished Fellow

William A. Reinsch has joined the Stimson Center as a Distinguished Fellow, the Stimson Center announced today. Reinsch joins Stimson’s new Trade in the 21st Century initiative (Trade21), led by Nate Olson. Trade21 promotes a public interest agenda by…

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