Myanmar

Furthering research on the country’s civil-military relations, ethnic reconciliation, and geopolitical dilemmas

In Southeast Asia Research

Myanmar’s February 2021 coup was the latest chapter in the country’s long history of balancing complex internal politics and pulling in contradictory directions. While the coup upended the fragile balance of power between the military and civilian leadership, anticipating the country’s future peace, stability, and development requires more than ever objective understanding of the unsettled relationship between the two sides and its profound impact on all conflicts across the country.

This project analyzes Myanmar’s complex politics and uncertain future by unpacking the power dynamics at play between the military, the civilian opposition, ethnic armed groups, as well as external players like ASEAN and the West. The project builds on Stimson’s more than a decade of working on Burmese democratization, ethnic reconciliation, development, and external relations.

Project Team
Lead

In Focus

Civil-Military Relations in Myanmar

The “Civil-Military Relations in Myanmar” series seeks to analyze the complex relationship between the civilian and military sides of the Burmese government and the implications for the country’s future peace and development. Since the founding of the country, the Burmese military, or Tatmadaw, has held a unique and privileged status across institutions of power. And despite movement toward democracy in the past decade, the relationship between the civilian and military sides remains deeply unsettled. This contest for power and the political, security, and constitutional crises it creates have had far-reaching effects on Myanmar’s political processes, its ongoing civil war, the Rohingya crisis, and regional peace and stability—a reality most recently and poignantly seen in the 2021 coup d’état staged by the Tatmadaw against the civilian government. The series brings together the expertise of leading experts on Myanmar, Southeast Asia, democratization, and policy to uncover the complex dynamics between the two sides. The series provides key insights and recommendations for disentangling the contentious relationship and charting a path forward for relevant stakeholders in Myanmar.

Latest

Resource
This monthly update highlights major events, statements, and bilateral interactions driving China’s relations with Myanmar at a time when the junta sees China as a crucial partner
Nick Hawkins • Sydney Tucker • Sarah Godek
Commentary
Analyzing the Myanmar military regime’s recent engagement with Russia and prospects for cooperation going forward
Wai Yan Phyo Naing
Issue Brief
How the leader of Myanmar’s junta manages power within the military and what it means ahead of the elections
Naing Min Khant
Issue Brief
Analyzing the challenges facing Myanmar’s pro-democracy CSOs in an era of state repression and a shifting funding landscape
Aye Lei Tun
Commentary
While regional states might be open to accepting the results of Myanmar’s upcoming election, the design and structure are being engineered by the military to ensure its continued grip on power
Amara Thiha
Commentary
Recent proposals to source rare earths from Myanmar are untenable, reflecting a misalignment between geopolitical ambition and ground-level constraints
Amara Thiha
Explainer
Exploring how rare earth minerals are behind resource-backed diplomacy in northern Myanmar
Amara Thiha
Commentary
How China uses private military and security companies to protect its investments
Amara Thiha

News & Commentary

Commentary
Analyzing the Myanmar military regime’s recent engagement with Russia and prospects for cooperation going forward
Wai Yan Phyo Naing
Commentary
While regional states might be open to accepting the results of Myanmar’s upcoming election, the design and structure are being engineered by the military to ensure its continued grip on power
Amara Thiha
Commentary
Recent proposals to source rare earths from Myanmar are untenable, reflecting a misalignment between geopolitical ambition and ground-level constraints
Amara Thiha
Commentary
How China uses private military and security companies to protect its investments
Amara Thiha
Commentary
As China weighs its strategy toward Myanmar, the rise of cyber scam centers is an increasing concern for Beijing’s interests
Sydney Tucker
Commentary
US policy towards Myanmar has been ineffectual, but the Trump administration has the chance to change it
Hunter Marston
Commentary
What does the recent launch of the U.S. House of Representatives Congressional Burma Caucus mean for the future of U.S. policy on Myanmar?
Sydney Tucker • Sarah Godek
Commentary
With sanctions on the rise, Myanmar’s military is increasingly under pressure and is turning to its few partners for additional support
Hunter Marston

Events

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