Nuclear Rollback

Rebecca Hersman, Senior
Research Fellow at the National Defense University, presents an
overview of conclusions stemming from the WMD Center’s Nuclear Rollback
Study.  This study examines 18 cases of historical rollback from
1955-2003.  The purpose of the study is to understand and characterize
the nature of rollback, including changes over time in states’
capability and intent levels, the factors that influenced states to
freeze or abandon nuclear weapons programs, and to garner potentially
useful insight to assist policymakers as they confront new cases of
nuclear proliferation.  Key questions to be examined:  What can the
United States learn from these experiences to encourage successful WMD
program reversals in the future?  How can the United States identify
targets of opportunity for rollback or preventative measures?  How do
we measure the effectiveness of rollbacks?

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