Scenarios for Iran’s Future and Implications for GCC Security
Gulf states fear not only a belligerent Iran but also Iranian fragmentation, escalation, and strategic miscalculation
February 13, 2026
Testing Assumptions About US Foreign Policy in 2026
Members of the Reimagining US Grand Strategy team and other Stimson programs examine key assumptions about U.S. foreign policy that will be tested this year
February 12, 2026
Is Resolute Global Leadership the Right Grand Strategy for the United States?
The Net Assessment crew evaluates a “Resolute Global Leadership” grand strategy
February 12, 2026
The Re-Making of International Security: Arms Transfer Trends in a Changing Global Order
February 12, 2026
The “America First Arms Transfer Strategy” Reorders US Arms Transfer Priorities
A newly released U.S. arms transfers strategy elevates economic and industrial priorities at the expense of strategic and foreign policy imperatives
February 12, 2026
The Shape of Our Future
Sharing actionable insights on the links between population dynamics and prosperity, health, and security
February 12, 2026
Can a US Partner Practice Multi-Alignment? The UAE is Certainly Trying.
We went to Abu Dhabi on a research trip and met with a variety of experts to understand the state of the US-UAE relationship and what the next few years may have in store
February 12, 2026
Iran’s Uncertain Transition: From the Streets to a Strongman
Even after Khamenei dies, it is unclear whether Iran can produce a new unifying leader or a transition to a liberal democratic order
February 12, 2026