War or Deal? The Impact of Trade on the East Asian Economies

Whether a trade war or trade deal, U.S.-China trade disputes are guaranteed to have a spillover effect on the East Asian regional economies. The Trump administration’s recent escalation of tariffs on Chinese goods – with immediate reciprocation from Beijing – is already rippling through the global economy, but U.S. allies and partners in East Asia could be among the hardest hit. Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea have significant exposure to Chinese production, both as importers and exporters in the regional value chain. How does the ongoing trade war – or potential deals in the future – impact the interests of Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea? Join us for a panel discussion with Dr. Liu Shih-Chung, Vice Chairman at the Taiwan External Trade Development Council, Troy Stangarone, Senior Director at the Korea Economic Institute of America, and Yun Sun, Co-Director of the East Asia Program at Stimson (moderator). A light lunch will be served.

WHAT: A panel discussion on the impact of a U.S.-China trade war or deal on Taiwan, Japan and South Korea. This event is on-the-record.

WHERE: The Stimson Center, 1211 Connecticut Avenue, NW, 8th Floor, Washington DC, 20036

WHEN: Thursday, July 12, 2018, 12:00 p.m. – 1:30 p.m.

FOLLOW@StimsonCenter on Twitter for event news and use #StimsonNow to join the conversation.


SHIH-CHUNG LIU, Vice Chairman, Taiwan External Trade Development Council

Shih-Chung Liu is a board member of the Cross-strait Prospect Foundation in Taiwan (an affiliation of the National Security Bureau). He joined the Taiwan External Trade Development Council (TAITRA) in October 2017 as Vice Chairman. Previously, he was the Deputy Secretary-general of the Tainan City Government, the President and CEO of the Taipei-based think tank Taiwan Brain Trust, the director of the International Affairs Department of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), and an advisor to the Mainland Affairs Council. From September 2008 to December 2009, Liu was a visiting fellow at the Center for Northeast Asian Policy Studies of the Brookings Institution. He also spent eight years in the DPP government as a senior foreign policy adviser to former President Chen Shui-bian in the Presidential Office from 2000 to 2006 and then joined the Ministry of Foreign Affairs as the Vice Chairman of Research and Planning Committee. Liu earned his M.A. from the Department of Political Science at Columbia University where he was also a Ph.D. candidate.

TROY STANGARONE, Senior Director, Congressional Affairs and Trade, Korea Economic Institute of America (KEI)

Troy Stangarone is the Senior Director of Congressional Affairs and Trade at KEI. He focuses on issues pertaining to U.S.-Korea relations, South Korea’s foreign and economic policy, and North Korea. He also serves as editor for Korea’s Economy and KEI’s blog, The Peninsula. He was a 2012-2013 Council on Foreign Relations International Affairs Fellow in South Korea, sponsored by the Asan Institute for Policy Studies. In addition to his work at KEI, Mr. Stangarone is a member of the George Mason University |Korea President’s Advisory Board, the International Council of Korean Studies Board, and the Korea-America Student Conference’s National Advisory Committee. Prior to joining KEI, Mr. Stangarone worked on Capitol Hill for Senator Robert Torricelli on issues relating to foreign affairs and trade. He holds a M.Sc. in International Relations from the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) and a B.A. in Political Science and Economics from the University of Memphis.

YUN SUN, Co-Director, East Asia Program, Stimson (Moderator)

Yun Sun is Co-Director of the East Asia Program and Director of the China Program at the Stimson Center. Her expertise is in Chinese foreign policy, U.S.-China relations and China’s relations with neighboring countries and authoritarian regimes. From 2011 to early 2014, she was a Visiting Fellow at the Brookings Institution, jointly appointed by the Foreign Policy Program and the Global Development Program, where she focused on Chinese national security decision-making processes and China-Africa relations. From 2008 to 2011, Yun was the China Analyst for the International Crisis Group based in Beijing, specializing on China’s foreign policy towards conflict countries and the developing world. Prior to ICG, she worked on U.S.-Asia relations in Washington, D.C. for five years. Yun earned her master’s degree in international policy and practice from George Washington University, as well as an M.A. in Asia Pacific studies and a B.A. in international relations from Foreign Affairs College in Beijing.

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