The Shape of Our Future

Examining the Intersection of Demography and Policy

Sharing actionable insights on the links between population dynamics and prosperity, health, and security

We are in the midst of a unique demographic moment. Today’s youngest generation is the largest cohort ever. Rising conflict, economic instability, a changing climate, and pressures on biodiversity are decreasing food security and upending livelihoods in some of the most rapidly growing places. Meanwhile, many regions of the world are contending with dropping fertility rates and aging populations. These global trends are having a profound effect on policy outcomes across sectors and driving long-term shifts in countries throughout the world.

The Shape of Our Future project, led by the Stimson Center’s Environmental Security Program in partnership with the Population Institute, provides clarity on how often overlooked or misunderstood population dynamics — including fertility, mortality, migration, urbanization — are relevant to today’s foreign policy and security priorities. Through expert dialogues, deep analysis, and evidence-based storytelling, the project explores how demographic factors are shaping communities’ chances for prosperity, health, and security across every continent — and what lessons can be drawn for effective, anticipatory policymaking.

Research & Writing

Commentary
The journey from ICFP2025 to COP30 included some major milestones—and some compromises—on linking climate resilience and reproductive health.
Nakuya Niona Kasekende Ssebukulu
Commentary
Insights from Afrobarometer’s latest pan-African survey on public attitudes about sexual and reproductive health
Joseph Asunka
Commentary
Making smart and effective investments in women and girls could help address some of the most universal and urgent concerns held across Africa, from rising unemployment to strained health systems
Claire Doyle
Commentary
Today’s discourse on population foregrounds alarmism about aging populations and falling birth rates. The narrative needs a major course correction
Kathleen Mogelgaard