Stimson in the News

Richard Cincotta’s work on Afghanistan’s “youth bulge” featured in New Security Beat (Wilson Center)

in Program

As the United States approaches its 2014 deadline for military withdrawal from Afghanistan, one often overshadowed aspect of the conflict is the hard-won progress made by previously marginalized segments of the Afghan population, particularly women, girls, and young people.


Historically speaking, Afghanistan’s large proportion of young people – called a “youth bulge” by demographers – presents many challenges to achieving democracy, said the Stimson Center‘s Demographer in Residence and ECSP consultant Richard Cincotta.

Without access to education and livelihood opportunities – goals that become increasingly more difficult with each successive generation of growth -“youthful populations are statistically risky populations, and have a high risk of civil conflict and a low probability of attaining high levels of democracy,” he said.

To read the full story, click here.

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