The biggest question now is when the system will collapse completely—and equally important what comes in its wake—should the kleptocracy refuse to redistribute its power and wealth.
The Administration’s cautious early approach has strengthened Biden’s hand with Iran, but they can no longer look at this nuclear arrangement as a springboard for bilateral relations.
Iran-Saudi talks in Baghdad demonstrate Iraq's potential as a hub for regional dialogue, but this is a fragile process and prone to be undermined by spoilers.