Featuring sober analysis from regional and Western experts on the Middle East’s structural and geopolitical issues. The contributors are not affiliated with the Stimson Center.
An updated armistice agreement could pave the way for a serious conversation about border demarcation and an end to all wars that use South Lebanon as a launching pad.
Given the failure of direct talks to resolve the conflict, the likeliest near-term outcome is intensified indirect diplomacy via multiple intermediaries including Pakistan, Egypt, and Oman in addition to Turkey
It is becoming increasingly likely that the war will end without any of its primary objectives having been fully achieved — a military success but strategic failure.
