Alan D. Romberg

Former Distinguished Fellow

This is the profile of a former staff member, affiliate, or intern. Biographical information is not maintained and may be out of date.

Romberg was the Principal Deputy Director of the State Department’s Policy Planning staff, Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Public Affairs and Deputy Spokesman of the department. He served in various capacities dealing with East Asia, including director of the Office of Japanese Affairs, member of the Policy Planning staff for East Asia, and staff member at the National Security Council for China. He served overseas in Hong Kong and Taiwan.

Additionally, Romberg spent almost 10 years as the CV Starr Senior Fellow for Asian Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, and was special assistant to the secretary of the navy.

Romberg holds an M.A. from Harvard University, and a B.A. from the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs at Princeton University.

Selected Publications

“Cross Strait Relations: Skepticism Abounds” (China Leadership Monitor No. 54, Hoover Institution Stanford University, September 2017)

“Cross-Strait Relations: Marking Time” (China Leadership Monitor No. 53, Hoover Institution Stanford University, May 2017)

“What Does Moon Jae-in’s Election Mean for US-South Korea Relations?” (Stimson Spotlight, May 2017)

“The Bull in the China Shop” (China Leadership Monitor No. 52, Hoover Institution Stanford University, February 2017)

“Why Trump Can’t ‘Haggle’ Over the One-China Policy” (South China Morning Post, December 17, 2016)

“The First 100 Days: Crossing the River While Feeling the Stones” (China Leadership Monitor No. 51, Hoover Institution Stanford University, August 2016)

“Tsai Ing-wen Takes Office: A New Era in Cross-Strait Relations” (China Leadership Monitor No. 50, Hoover Institution Stanford University, July 2016)

“A Forward-Looking Obama in Asia” (The Hill, May 26, 2016)

“The ‘1992 Consensus’ – Adapting to the Future?” (China Leadership Monitor No. 49, Hoover Institution Stanford University, February 2016)

“Taiwan and Cross-Strait Relations: Consolidating Positions” (China Leadership Monitor No. 48, Hoover Institution Stanford University, September 2015)

“Squaring the Circle: Adhering to Principle, Embracing Ambiguity” (China Leadership Monitor No. 47, Hoover Institution Stanford University, September 2015)

Cross-Strait Relations: The Times They Are A-Changin” (China Leadership Monitor No. 46, Hoover Institution Stanford University, March 2015)

New Kuomintang Chairman Faces ‘Substantial’ Challenges” (Interview with Deutsche Welle, January 19, 2015)

The Fallout from Taiwan’s 2014 Elections” (Interview with The Diplomat, December 11, 2014)

Obama and Xi Jinping Need to Probe Deeper When They Meet in Beijing” (The Hill, November 10, 2014)

Current Developments in Taiwan’s Politics and Cross-Strait Relations” (China Forum #103, US-China Policy Foundation, October 15, 2014)

Cross-Strait Relations: Portrayals of Consistency. Calm on the Surface, Paddling Like Hell Underneath” (China Leadership Monitor No. 45, Hoover Institution Stanford University, October 2014)

Relations Across the Taiwan Strait: Opportunities and Challenges Under New Conditions” (Brookings event, September 12, 2014 – see Video)

Senior Chinese Official Visits Taiwan” (The Hill, June 25, 2014)

Sunshine Heats Up Taiwan Politics, Affects PRC Tactics” (China Leadership Monitor No. 44, Hoover Institution Stanford University, June 2014)

From Generation to Generation: Advancing Cross-Strait Relations” (China Leadership Monitor No. 43, Hoover Institution Stanford University, February 2014)

“Taiwan: Consolidating Stability” (Council for Security Cooperation in the Asia Pacific Regional Outlook, 2014)

“China’s Creation of Air Defense Identification Zone in East China Sea Raises Concerns in Tokyo and Washington” (International Business Times, Nov. 25, 2013)

“Settling in for the Long Haul: Stability with Chinese Characteristics” (China Leadership Monitor No. 42, Hoover Institution Stanford University, October 2013)

American Interests in the Senkaku/Diaoyu Issue, Policy Considerations (Center for Naval Analyses workshop report April, 2013)

Striving for New Equilibria” (China Leadership Monitor No.41, Hoover Institution Stanford University, June 2013)

“U.S. China summit offers chance at improved relations” (The Hill June 3, 2013)

Presidential Inbox 2013: Finding the Right Balance in Asia Policy, (co-author, Stimson, January 2013)

Following the 18th Party Congress: Moving Forward Step by Step, (China Leadership Monitor No.40, Hoover Institution Stanford University, January 2013)

Across the Taiwan Strait: From Confrontation to Cooperation, 2006-2012,  (Stimson, November 2012)

Alan D. Romberg Comments On The Diaoyutai/ Senkaku Islands Dispute (October 2012)

Shaping the Future- Part II: Cross-Strait Relations(China Leadership Monitor No. 39, Hoover Institution Stanford University, October 2012)

Shaping the Future-Part I: Domestic Developments in Taiwan”  (China Leadership Monitor No. 38, Hoover Institution Stanford University, August 2012)

After the Taiwan Elections: Planning for the Future(China Leadership Monitor No. 37, Hoover Institution Stanford University, April 2012)

Understanding North Korea’s Failed Launch” (Stimson Spotlight, April 13, 2012)

Taiwan Elections Head to the Finish: Concerns, Cautions, and Challenges”  (China Leadership Monitor No. 36, Hoover Institution Stanford University, January 2012)

Regional Implications And The Passing of Kim Jong-Il”  (Stimson Spotlight, December 20, 2011)

The 2012 Taiwan Election: Off and Running” (China Leadership Monitor, No. 35, Hoover Institution Stanford University, September 2011)

Cross-Strait Relations: Setting the Stage for 2012” (China Leadership Monitor No. 34, Hoover Institution Stanford University, February 2011)

Alan Romberg comments on Chinese President Hu Jintao’s visit and its impact on U.S.-Taiwan relations (January 2011)

Alan Romberg’s interview with Stimson President, Ellen Laispon, on Hu Jintao’s visit (click here for the transcript)(January 2011)

Alan Romberg On Hu Jintao’s US Visit ï¼ˆJanuary 2011)

“U.S. and South Korea Navies Send a Message (CNN, November 2010)

Presentation at the 6th Hankyoreh-Busan International Symposium in Busan, Korea (November 2010)

Managing the Cross Strait Issue” sponsored by National Committee on American Foreign Policy and Tsinghua University (November 2010)

Alan D. Romberg comments on ECFA, the cross-strait economic agreement (June 2010)

Ma at Mid-Term: Challenges for Cross-Strait Relations,” (China Leadership Monitor No. 33, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, June 2010)

Alan D. Romberg Comments on the Possibility of ‘FTA-like’ Deals for Taiwan (June 2010)

All Economics Is Political: ECFA Front and Center,” (China Leadership Monitor No. 32, Hoover Institution Stanford University, May 2010)

2010: The Winter of PRC Discontent,”  (China Leadership Monitor No. 31, Hoover Institution Stanford University, February 2010) available in Chinese on the Carnegie Insight

Cross-Strait Relations: Weathering the Storm,”  (China Leadership Monitor No. 30, Hoover Institution Stanford University, November 2009)

Alan D. Romberg: Obama’s First Trip to China Will Highlight his China Policy, an interview with Taiwan’s Central News Agency (November 11, 2009) available in Chinese only

Cross-Strait Relations: A Confederacy of Skeptics,” (China Leadership Monitor No. 29, Hoover Institution Stanford University, August 2009)

Alan D. Romberg Comments on Ma Ying-jeou’s First Year in Office, an interview with Taiwan’s Central News Agency (May 20, 2009) available in Chinese only

Alan D. Romberg: Taiwan Entry in the WHA – A Step in the Right Direction,” (World Journal, San Francisco, April 30, 2009)

Jorge Liu, “Alan D. Romberg: Taiwan Attendance at the WHA Demonstrates Cross-Strait Flexibility and Originality,” (Taiwan’s Central News Agency, April 29, 2009) available in Chinese only

Jorge Liu, “Alan D. Romberg: The Three Agreements Signed at the Third Chiang-Chen Meeting Deepen Cross-Strait Relations,” (Taiwan’s Central News Agency, April 27, 2009) available in Chinese only

Alan D. Romberg discusses the future of U.S.-Taiwan relations at a conference U.S.-Taiwan Relations in a New Era: Looking Forward 30 Years After the Taiwan Relations Act organized by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (April 22, 2009)

Cross-Strait Relations: First the Easy, Now the Hard,”  (China Leadership Monitor No. 28, Hoover Institution Stanford University, May 8, 2009).

PacNet 17A — ‘Cross-Strait Moderation and the United States’ – A Response to Robert Sutter,” by Richard Bush and Alan D. Romberg (CSIS Pacific Forum, March 12, 2009)

Cross-Strait Relations: “Ascend the Heights and Take a Long-Term Perspective,”  (China Leadership Monitor No. 27, Hoover Institution Stanford University January 9, 2009)

­­­­­­­­­­­­­­Alan Romberg: Obama’s Taking Office Will Benefit the Steady Development of U.S.-Taiwan Relations,” (Taiwan’s Central News Agency, November 2008)

Cross-Strait Relations: First the Easy Steps, Then the Difficult Ones,” (China Leadership Monitor No. 26, Hoover Institution Stanford University, September 2, 2008)

American Scholar: President Ma’s low key transit shows the sincerity of his effort to build mutual trust,” (Taiwan’s Central News Agency, August 2008)

U.S. Expert sees arms sales to Taiwan moving forward in coming weeks,” (Taiwan’s Central News Agency, July 2008)

After the Taiwan Election: Restoring Dialogue while Reserving Options,” (China leadership Monitor No. 25, Hoover Institution Stanford University, June 17, 2008)

Taiwan: Opportunities and Challenges,”  (keynote address at the CLSA China Forum in Shanghai, May 15, 2008)

Taiwan: George Bush meet Abba Eban” (Stimson Spotlight, April 21, 2008)

Alan Romberg Urges Beijing to Adopt Creative Measures to Improve Cross-Strait Relations” Jorge Liu (Central News Agency) reports on Alan D. Romberg’s remarks in the Brookings seminar “Taiwan’s Elections and What They Mean” (March 28, 2008)

U.S. Policy Toward Taiwan, Time for Change?” (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace debate series: Reframing China Policy, March 26, 2008)

Alan Romberg: Election Victor Must Heal Societal Rifts,” Alan D. Romberg’s interview with Jorge Liu (Central News Agency), text in Chinese (March 23, 2008)

Taiwan Elections: Foundation for the Future,” (China leadership Monitor, No. 24, Hoover Institution Stanford University, March 12, 2008)

Shifting Political Currents in Taiwan” (Stimson Spotlight, January 15, 2008)

Cross-Strait Relations: In Search of Peace,” (China Leadership Monitor, No. 23, Hoover Institution Stanford University, January 23, 2008)

Future Cross-Strait Relations and a Possible Modus Vivendi” Alan D. Romberg’s paper presented at the Foundation for International and Cross-Strait Studies-Brookings Institution Conference (December 3, 2007)

PacNet 45 – The U.S. “One China” Policy: Time for a Change?” based on Alan D. Romberg’s October 24 Neuhauser speech (CSIS Pacific Forum, November 7, 2007)

The U.S. “One China” Policy: Time for a Change?” (speech at the 16th annual Neuhauser Memorial Lecture at Harvard, October 24, 2007)

Applying to the UN “in the name of ‘Taiwan,”  (China Leadership Monitor, No. 22, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, October 5, 2007)

Six-Party Agreement And The North-South Summit: An Opening For Korea?”  (Stimson spotlight, October 5, 2007)

Election 2008 and Cross-Strait Relations,”  (China Leadership Monitor, No. 21, Hoover Institution, Stanford University (July 16, 2007)

Future East Asian Security Architecture: Implications for the PLA,” Alan D. Romberg’s analysis appears in Assessing the Threat, published by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (July 12, 2007)

North Korea: So If The Banking Issue Is Resolved. What’s Next?”  (Stimon Spotlight, June 11, 2007)

Politicians Jockey for Position in Taiwan’s 2007-2008 Elections, While Japan Jockeys for Position Across the Strait,”  (China Leadership Monitor No. 20, Hoover Institution Stanford University, February 28, 2007)

Negotiating With North Korea: Bridging The Differences Among The Key Parties” (Stimson

Research & Writing

Announcement
Remembering Alan D. Romberg

The Stimson Center mourns the loss of our colleague Alan D. Romberg, who has directed the East Asia Program for nearly two decades.  His great passion was the US-China-Taiwan triangle.  From his government service, where he was directly invol…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Quoted on President Trump visit to South Korea

  Read the article here. 

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Quoted on S. Korea and U.S. coordination on North Korea

  Read the article here.

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg on China’s 19th Congress and Taiwan

Read the article here. 

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Quoted on Taiwan and the United Nations

Taiwan has its own military, currency and immigration controls. Despite these hallmarks of nationhood, the island of 23 million people cannot join the United Nations or observe the events of U.N. organizations. Read the full article here. 

Policy Paper
Cross-Strait Relations: Skepticism Abounds

Whether the issue is internal splits within Taiwan’s two major political parties or Beijing’s view of the parties and their leaders, the predominating mood today is skepticism. Not only have Tsai Ing-wen’s poll numbers continued to drop, she also faces…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Quoted in AP on Cross-Strait Relations

The visit by Paraguay’s president to Taiwan this week offers a diplomatic lifeline to the self-governing island democracy whose international breathing space is being steadily chipped away at by Beijing. -snip- “As far as the (Taiwanese) government is…

Stimson in the News
Yun Sun interviewed on France 24 on the North Korea missile threat

Early on Tuesday morning, North Korean state media announced that the secretive Communist country had for the very first time successfully test-launched an intercontinental ballistic missile, which experts call a “game changer” as it could potentially…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Yonhap News on South Korean President Moon Jae-in’s summit with Trump

President Moon Jae-in produced better-than-expected results from his first summit talks with U.S. President Donald Trump as he succeeded in aligning their respective approaches to North Korea, U.S. experts said Saturday. -snip-  Alan Romberg, a di…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Forbes on cross-Strait relations

China intentionally pulled back on group tourism to Taiwan last year by about 18%, resulting in a squeeze for those in the tour bus and hotel industry. Beijing probably thought the same about its easing off permits for students to study at Taiwan’s 152…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Quoted in the Daily Express on Otto Warmbier’s Release and US – North Korea Relations

After President Donald Trump dispatched ambassador Joseph Yun to Pyongyang to secure the 22-year-old’s release there has been speculation the two sides were closer to resuming long-stalled nuclear negotiations. -snip- His concerns were echoed by Alan R…

Policy Paper
Cross-Strait Relations: Marking Time

There have been no dramatic developments in cross-Strait relations of late. Instead, Beijing continues its steady pressure on the Taiwan authorities while courting private interests. President Tsai’s bid for acceptance of reciprocal responsibility for…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Voice of America on North Korea’s Missile Launch

North Korea’s latest missile launch suggests a major step forward in Kim Jong Un’s quest to develop a nuclear tipped intercontinental ballistic missile that could strike the U.S. mainland, analysts say. -snip- Alan Romberg, director of the East Asia Pr…

Stimson in the News
Alan D. Romberg quoted in Yonhap News on Moon Jae-in and Trump

WASHINGTON, May 9 (Yonhap) — A series of thorny issues will test the Korea-U.S. alliance under the leadership of South Korea’s new President Moon Jae-in and U.S. President Donald Trump, but the two leaders, despite their seeming differences on North K…

Commentary
What Does Moon Jae-in’s Election Mean for US-South Korea Relations?

By Alan D. Romberg There are clearly many concerns on both sides about the future of the U.S.-South Korea relationship under the combined leadership of this week’s projected election winner Mr. Moon Jae-in, and President Donald Trump. Those concer…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Yonhap News Agency on Trump’s Praise Towards Kim Jong-un

WASHINGTON, May 3 (Yonhap) — U.S. President Donald Trump’s expression of his “honored” willingness to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un could be a way, albeit clumsy, of laying the groundwork for eventual resumption of negotiations, U.S. exper…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Associated Press on Chinese-Taiwanese Relations

TAIPEI, Taiwan (AP) — Taiwan’s return of a Chinese asylum seeker this week is a likely bid by President Tsai Ing-wen to stabilize relations with Beijing that have been in sharp decline since her election last year, analysts said Thursday. -snip- “Altho…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg’s Op-Ed in 38 North on Mar-a-Lago’s Impact on U.S.-Chinese Relations

Whether measured in terms of a week, a day, a few hours or even ten minutes, while the outcome of the Mar-a-Lago summit between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping cannot yet be characterized as a breakthrough, it certainly was n…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Newsweek on Trump’s Response Towards North Korea

WASHINGTON, April 7 (Yonhap) — In the run-up to this week’s first meetings with China’s leader, U.S. President Donald Trump talked repeatedly and tough about how serious the problem of North Korea has become, even calling it a “humanity problem.” -sni…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg interviewed in The Hankyoreh on U.S.-China Meeting

Hankyoreh (Hani): What’s your overall assessment of the recent US-China summit at the Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida? Was it more successful than you expected? Alan Romberg (Romberg): I think the summit at Mar-a-Lago can be called a success for both lead…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg’s Op-Ed in South China Morning Post on Trump and Xi’s Meeting

The Mar-a-Lago summit between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping ( 習近平 ) was long on generalities and atmospherics and short on specifics. But, while one would be justified to withhold judgment until it can be seen how various sweeping statemen…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Voice of America on Taiwanese Weapons Upgrades

TAIPEI, TAIWAN — Taiwan is pursuing a two-pronged upgrade to its armed forces as people on the island worry about recent shows of force by powerful rival China during a political stalemate. -snip- “With the cross-Strait situation not only stagnant…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in La Rampa di Napoli on US Approach to North Korea

Tillerson’s remarks come at a time when the United States intelligence community and the Defense Department are increasingly anticipating that North Korea will soon undertake a new round of testing of its missile and nuclear program, half a dozen USA o…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Voice of America on Taiwan’s Actions

TAIPEI — Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen is showing signs of steering a middle course between China and the United States, despite a unique connection with Donald Trump, to balance competing voter sentiments and reduce the risk of escalating anger i…

Policy Paper
The Bull in the China Shop

As Tsai Ing-wen continued to struggle with implementation of her ambitious reform programs—losing public support in the process—Beijing maintained pressure to accept the “1992 Consensus” or some other expression of “one China.” Everything became substa…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Yonhap News on Trump address

WASHINGTON, Jan. 20 (Yonhap) — U.S. President Donald Trump’s inaugural address appears to show he remains highly critical of the country spending money to fulfill its security commitments overseas, and could demand allies pay significantly more for an…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Taipei Times on Taiwan and the Vatican

Hours after Sao Tome and Principe severed diplomatic ties with Taiwan on Dec. 21, Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs Javier Hou (侯清山) addressed lawmakers’ concerns of further defections to Beijing. Speaking to the Foreign and National Defense Committee…

Commentary
Why Trump Can’t ‘Haggle’ Over the One-China Policy

Important, even vital, American national interests as well as global peace and stability are at stake in how – indeed, whether – President-elect Donald Trump understands the underlying principles of the United States’ long-standing “one-China” policy a…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Los Angeles Times on Trump and Taiwan

Suddenly, Taiwan sees an opening. Having spent most of the last half a century in a diplomatic no man’s land, in which it technically does not exist as far as most of the world is concerned, Taiwan is hoping to parlay President-elect Donald T…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg’s Op-ed in South China Morning Post on Trump and One-China Policy

Important, even vital, American national interests as well as global peace and stability are at stake in how – indeed, whether – President-elect Donald Trump understands the underlying principles of the United States’ long-standing “one-China” policy a…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in CNN on Trump’s call with Taiwan’s president

It’s weeks before the United States’ next president takes office, but already Donald Trump is raising eyebrows among China-watchers after his phone call with Taiwan’s president. China views Taiwan as a renegade province and since 1979 the US has a…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Radio Taiwan International on Trump’s call with Taiwan’s president

A few weeks after quasi-president Trump’s inauguration, he telephoned President Chua Eng-wen of the Republic of China to raise eyebrows on mainland Chinese observers. Some experts say that this act is contrary to diplomatic etiquette. -snip- Alan…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Focus Taiwan on Tsai-Trump phone call

A former deputy spokesman for the U.S. Department of State, Alan D. Romberg, has called a phone conversation between President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) and U.S. President-elect Donald Trump a success as long as it did not signal a shift in U.S. policy. “Assu…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Yonhap News Agency on new UN sanctions and North Korea

WASHINGTON, Nov. 30 (Yonhap) — The new package of U.N. sanctions on North Korea will make life harder for the communist nation by slashing its foreign currency earnings, but is unlikely to change Pyongyang’s calculus on its nuclear and missile program…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in China Review News on US-Taiwan policy expectations

“Stimson Center” East Asia Project Director Romberg (Alan Romberg) on the assessment agency, said: “There may be a policy review, but I do not think that would be a priority in any case, I do not expect there will be major changes in US policy toward T…

Commentary
The Trump Administration’s China Challenge

Editor’s note: This analysis is part of 2017 Presidential Inbox — an ongoing Stimson Center series examining the major global challenges and opportunities the Trump administration faces during its first 100 days in office. Click here to read the full s…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Yonhap News Agency Online on election results’ impact on Asia

WASHINGTON, Nov. 9 (Yonhap) — The stunning victory of Donald Trump casts deep uncertainty over U.S. policy on the Korean Peninsula and beyond as he has campaigned on pledges to overhaul the relations with allies and renegotiate trade deals under his “…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Yonhap News Agency on talking to North Korea

WASHINGTON, Oct. 24 (Yonhap) — Informal talks with North Korea, such as last week’s meetings between Pyongyang diplomats and former U.S. nuclear negotiators, wouldn’t hurt as they could be helpful in better understanding each other’s position, U.S. ex…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in China Review News on Tsai Ing-wen’s speech

In the assessment community in Washington October 10 (Reporter Yu Donghui) Tsai Ing-wen after the “Double Ten” speech, the United States well-known Taiwan expert Romberg (Alan Romberg) the first time on the assessment agency said that as people should…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg cited in Forbes on UN Aviation Agency rejection of Taiwan

Diplomatically isolated Taiwan had a chance to send a delegation to listen in at the International Civil Aviation Organization’s annual assembly. The UN group, in place since World War II, brings together 191 governments to agree on the best commercial…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in China Review News on Tsai Ing-wen

In the assessment community in Washington September 27 (Reporter Yu Donghui) leading US expert on Taiwan Romberg (Alan Romberg) believes that there will be no security crisis between the two sides, unless Tsai towards Taiwan independence, and he believ…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Liberty Times on Beijing pressuring Tsai Ing-wen

[United States for correspondent Cao Yufen / Washington on the 26th reported that] the United States, George Washington University professor, said today that Saudi Arabia, or whether Hillary Trump elected the next US president, the chances of Taiwan po…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in US China Press on cross-strait relations

Former deputy US State Department spokesman, well-known expert on Taiwan Romberg (Alan Romberg) on the ” Chinese Press Turning to cross-strait relations that” reporters, although the deadlock in cross-strait relations from the official point…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg cited in China Review News on Taiwan

In the assessment community in Washington September 1 (Reporter Yu Donghui) to be held in Hangzhou, “Xi Olympic” could refer to the Taiwan issue, but the United States in the Taiwan Strait issue most experts do not believe this will be the key topics o…

Policy Paper
The First 100 Days: Crossing the River While Feeling the Stones

As Tsai Ing-wen strives to jumpstart her priority domestic programs, she is finding that governance is hard. Not only are the economic and social challenges she faces inherently daunting, so is keeping her own troops in line, not to mention coping with…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Forbes on Taiwan-Vatican relations

Taiwan has 22 diplomatic allies, mostly small countries that look to it for development aid. China and Taiwan, political rivals of seven decades, used to play checkbook diplomacy to buy off each other’s friends and Taiwan with bigger aid packages, and…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Quoted in Taipei Times on Taiwan-US Security Partnership

“While the view in Taipei seems to be hopeful that all will be well by the end of that period, one senses a rather more downbeat expectation on the Mainland [China],” said Romberg, who is now director of the East Asia Program at the Stimson Center…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in China Radio International on the South China Sea

Kaugnay ng arbitrasyon ng isyu ng South China Sea (SCS), ipinahayag ng mga dalubhasang Amerikano na dapat isagawa ng Tsina at Pilipinas ang diyalogo at magtimpi ang pamahalaang Amerikano para maiwasan ang pag-igting ng tensyon sa rehiyong ito. Ipinahay…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg interviewed by China Review News on Cross-Strait Relations

中評社華盛頓訪問團日前與美國智庫史汀生中心(Stimson Center)東亞研究室主任容安瀾(Alan Romberg)進行了會晤交流,容安瀾還就如何解決兩岸現在的僵局以及特朗普有多高幾率當選美國總統等問題對中評社記者進行了回答。容安瀾表示,台海要維持現狀,大陸要有足夠耐心來等待、觀察蔡英文政府。    Read the full article here. 

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg cited in China Times on Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen

國是訪問為兩國表達友好關係的極致,在國際關係中,它的象徵性力量成為備受珍視的資產。然而,對僅有22個邦交小國的台灣來說,還有比這更重要的,那就是總統非正式過境美國。 -snip- 儘管蔡英文過境美國具有重要的象徵意義,並顯示美台維持一貫的政策,雙方非正式關係良好,但也別高估了它對美台日常事務的重要性。華府智庫史汀生中心(Stimson Center)東亞研究室主任容安瀾(Alan Romberg)指出,蔡英文過境美國並沒有任何特殊之處。 Read the full article here….

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Yonhap News Agency on North Korea Sanctions

The United States imposed sanctions on North Korean leader Kim Jong-un over human rights abuses on Wednesday in an unprecedented, highly symbolic measure underscoring Washington’s determination to ramp up pressure on Pyongyang. -snip-  “The symbol…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Beijing Review on South China Sea

During the U.S.-China Dialogue on South China Sea in Washington, D.C., on July 5-6, representatives from the two countries’ think tanks exchanged views on hotly contested issues including the Philippines-initiated arbitration. Views from some U.S….

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in The Diplomat on Tsai Ing-wen’s visit to US

State visits are the pinnacle of diplomatic ceremony and the utmost expression of friendly bilateral relations between countries. Their pomp and circumstance – the 21-gun salutes, state dinners, and cultural events – confer honor and respect upon the v…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in China Review News on Cross-Strait Relations

 中評社華盛頓7月1日電(記者 余東暉)台灣軍方誤射飛彈,大陸國台辦主任張志軍指“事件影響非常嚴重,需要台灣方面做出負責任的說明”。這會否對本已停滯的兩岸溝通帶來負面影響?中評社記者第一時間追問了美國若干知名台海問題專家。  -snip-  史汀生中心東亞項目主任容安瀾(Alan Romberg)說,雖然不管是從生命損失還是從飛彈發射缺乏恰當的控制而言,這顯然都是令人煩惱的事件,但北京對此做出了冷靜回應。他也不相信這會對兩岸關係有任何影響。  Read the…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Forbes on Possible China-U.S. Relations After the 2016 Presidential Election

China and the United States need each other as the world’s two superpowers. They trade, they invest in each other’s economies, they work together on global security matters. Then again they fight sometimes. If Hillary Clinton, the Democratic Party…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Forbes on Trade, China, and Hilary Clinton

China and the United States need each other as the world’s two superpowers. They trade, they invest in each other’s economies, they work together on global security matters. Then again they fight sometimes. If Hillary Clinton, the Democratic Party…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Forbes on Trade,China, and Hilary Clinton

China and the United States need each other as the world’s two superpowers. They trade, they invest in each other’s economies, they work together on global security matters. Then again they fight sometimes. If Hillary Clinton, the Democratic Party…

Policy Paper
Tsai Ing-wen Takes Office: A New Era in Cross-Strait Relations

In her May 20 inaugural address Tsai Ing-wen laid out in stark terms the daunting economic and social challenges that Taiwan faces in the months and years ahead, as well as her determination to meet those challenges. Addressing cross-Str…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Info 51 on Tsai Presidency

上月受邀出席蔡英文“520”就职典礼的台海问题专家、“史汀生中心”(The Stimson Center)东亚项目主任容安澜(Alan Romberg)6月8日在华府智库布鲁金斯学会出席研讨会时表示,蔡英文希望北京多多关注她如何维持现状,而不是仅仅一味地重复要求她说出的魔咒。 To read the full article click here.

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Quoted in Taipei Times on Tsai Presidency

President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) has a “cool charisma,” but the policy demands on her new administration are “daunting,” former American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) chairman Richard Bush on Wednesday told a conference in Washington. -snip- Former US Departme…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg cited in China Review News on China-Taiwan Relations

中評社華盛頓6月9日電(記者 余東暉)對於外界傳言宋楚瑜或王金平有可能出任海基會董事長,如果他們承認“九二共識”,是否就意味著兩岸就此達成一致?美國台海問題專家指出,這個分歧的彌合終究是要由兩岸領導人來處理。 -snip-  “史汀生中心”東亞項目主任容安瀾(Alan Romberg)表示同意卜睿哲的看法。他指出,對北京而言重要的主要事情是領導人層面,而不是次級層面的問題。也許會有各種形式的努力,來試圖符合北京的要求,包括在次級層面。在北京看來,蔡英文如何處理“九二共識”是關鍵。…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg cited in China Review News on Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen

中評社華盛頓6月8日電(記者 余東暉)作為美方代表團成員出席蔡英文就職典禮的美國台海問題專家容安瀾(Alan Romberg)表示,對北京談論要看蔡英文的行動而不只是看她是否說那個“咒語”的做法感到鼓舞,北京確實會關注蔡英文作為台灣領導人說什麼、做什麼。他對中評社記者說,蔡英文也想對岸能更多關注她保存現狀的所作所為,而不只是堅持要她重複以前要求她說的“魔咒”。  Read the full article here. 

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Forbes on Hillary Clinton and South China Sea

The United States has no territorial claim to the South China Sea. But it is shaping up as one of the most celebrated or reviled players – depending who you talk to — in a half century-old dispute over rights to the 3.5 million-square-kilometer oc…

Commentary
A forward-looking Obama in Asia

President Obama’s current trip to East Asia was organized around the G-7 meeting in Japan that is currently underway. But some of the most consequential developments center around his other activities. Obama’s stop in Vietnam did not simply advance the…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted on the Taiwan’s Presidential Inauguration

中評社華盛頓5月27日電(記者 余東暉)甫作為美方代表團一員參加蔡英文就職典禮回美的美國台海問題專家容安瀾(Alan Romberg)向中評社解讀蔡英文就職後的兩岸形勢。他認為,兩岸正目睹對和平穩定再肯定過程的開端,但積極的勢頭得到保持和滑坡得以避免,既不容易,也不是注定的結論。    To read the full article click here. 

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg op-ed in The Hill on President Obama’s visit to Asia

President Obama’s current trip to East Asia was organized around the G-7 meeting in Japan that is currently underway. But some of the most consequential developments center around his other activities. Obama’s stop in Vietnam did not simply advance the…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg cited in Forbes on Taiwan and China Relations

A new president took office in Taiwan Friday without fully agreeing to talks with her government’s old political rival China. Chinese officials have warned that Taiwan must come to the table on their conditions. Despite anxiety from Beijing to Washingt…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted by Tsai Times on Taiwan President-Elect Tsai Ing-wen

蔡英文正在做早餐。这位总统候选人打了五个蛋,和著平底锅裡面的培根一起滋滋作响,再把一片片白色的厚片土司叠起来。料理手法学自英国名厨杰米奥利佛(Jamie Oliver),但是她忍不住要说,烹调食材属于最纯粹的台湾原料。培根来自「快乐猪」农场,距离她那简单却有品味的公寓不远,而麵包是从她家附近的烘培坊买来的。她递了一颗橘子给我,用英文跟我说:「有机的!当然也是在地的。」 Read the full article here. 

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg cited in The China Post on U.S. delegation to Taiwan’s Presidential inauguration

The United States on Friday congratulated Taiwan’s first female president Tsai Ing-wen on her inauguration, saying that the peaceful transition of power marks another milestone in Taiwan’s democracy -snip- The photo shows former United States Trade Rep…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Yonhap News on North Korea and Nonproliferation

-snip- Alan Romberg, a distinguished fellow at the Stimson Center in Washington, cast doubt over the North Korean leader’s pledge to fulfill the country’s nonproliferation obligations. Read the full article here.

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg cited in Taipei Times on Taiwan’s Presidential Inauguration

The American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) on Friday released the names of delegation members who are to represent the US at president-elect Tsai Ing-wen’s (蔡英文) inauguration in Taipei on May 20. Former US trade representative Ron Kirk is to lead the deleg…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Korea Times on US Alliances

-snip- “I’m not at all sure that in the end, if Trump is elected, it would mean all that much of a change. The issue of host nation support is hardly new, and it doesn’t surprise me that Trump (and others) will continue to advocate greater support from…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg interviewed in China Review News on Kenya Case

  中评社华盛顿4月18日电(记者 余东晖)对于近日在台湾闹得沸沸扬扬的肯尼亚遣返涉嫌电信诈骗的台湾人到大陆的案件,美国知名台海问题专家观察后认为,此案体现了两岸司法当局之间缺乏协调,只有厘清事实真相才有助于未来的司法合作,但台湾方面对嫌犯上演“捉放曹”的戏码无助于问题的解决。包道格说:“有时候犯罪就是犯罪。”  Read the full article here.

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Forbes on Taiping Island

-snip- “Though they are not in any way coordinating their positions, a tribunal decision that Taiping is merely a ‘rock’ would be a slap at not only Beijing but also Taipei,” says Alan Romberg, East Asia Program director with Washington…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg cited in Taipei Times on meeting with Vice President Wu Den-yih

-snip- Among the delegation were Brookings Institution Center for East Asia Policy Studies director Richard Bush, Center for Strategic and International Studies senior adviser Bonnie Glaser, Stimson Center East Asia program director Alan Romberg and US…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg cited in Taiwan News on meeting with President-elect Tsai Ing-wen

-snip- Among the other U.S. officials present at the meeting were Bonnie Glaser, director of the China Power Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies; Alan Romberg, director of the East Asia Program at the Stimson Center;…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg interviewed in China Review News on Xi’s Speech

 中評社華盛頓3月7日電(記者 余東暉)美國知名台海問題專家容安瀾(Alan Romberg)認為,不管是習近平講話,還是王毅講話,雖然表達方式有所不同,但北京傳出的訊息是一貫的:堅持一個中國和反對台獨是兩岸關係和平發展不中斷必不可少的;讓蔡英文接受某種形式的“台灣和大陸同屬一個中國”的焦點並未減弱。他希望北京展示靈活性,如果蔡英文有進一步表態應積極回應。    習近平和王毅最近對台灣問題的表態亦受到美國研究兩岸問題學者的關注。容安瀾6日在接受中評社記者專訪時指出,人們需要了解,…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in The Korea Herald on UN sanctions to North Korea

The newly adopted U.N. sanctions on North Korea will no doubt bite the communist nation hard as long as they are rigorously enforced, but they’re unlikely to derail Pyongyang’s nuclear program and could even deepen its desperation for atomic bombs, Ame…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Korea Times on China and Republic of Korea

북한의 핵ㆍ미사일 도발을 겨냥해 한미가 급기야 고고도미사일방어체계(사드ㆍTHAAD) 카드까지 꺼내 들었다. Read more here.

Policy Paper
The “1992 Consensus”—Adapting to the Future?

In the January 16, 2016, Taiwan presidential and legislative elections, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) inflicted a devastating defeat on the incumbent Kuomintang (KMT or Nationalist Party). As a result, Taiwan politics will likely undergo massi…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Taipei Times on U.S.-Taiwan relations

Washington will work hard to have a “positive and constructive” relationship with president-elect Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文), a US expert on Asia said on Monday. “The US has a vital interest in what it considers to be the status quo — maintaining peace and sta…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg cited in Sina

  (中央社記者廖漢原華盛頓8日專電)美國學者容安瀾今天表示,美國總統在競選期間有關於台灣的談話,當選後因面臨各種現實須調整;學者包道格以挺台的共和黨總統參選人盧比歐為例,指出他若當選也必須妥協。 Read more here.

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in The Korea Times on military sanctions to North Korea

After North Korea launched its sixth satellite, or long-range missile, on Saturday, U.S. experts of international politics seem to have given up all hope for changing Pyongyang’s policy, according to media reports Tuesday. Read more here.

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Los Angeles Times on Taiwanese president’s visit

Wading into choppy political waters, Taiwan’s outgoing president Thursday paid a visit to a disputed islet in the South China Sea and called for peace as China, Vietnam, Malaysia and the Philippines vie more aggressively for territory and influence in…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Christian Science Monitor on Taiwan’s 2016 presidential election

TAIPEI, TAIWAN — When it last held power, Taiwan’s main opposition party aggressively pushed a pro-independence line that antagonized China and stirred unease in Washington. Now, one day before an election the opposition is widely expected to win,…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Star Tribune on China and Taiwan’s Elections

BEIJING — China isn’t going to be happy with the likely victory for Taiwan’s pro-independence opposition in this weekend’s presidential election, but it has limited options to respond: Any angry reaction could further alienate the island’s public, whil…

Commentary
Analysis Of State Of The Union Address

Following last night’s State of the Union address — the last of Barack Obama’s presidency — experts from the nonpartisan Stimson Center analyze and provide context on the president’s remarks: Johan Bergenas, Director, Partnerships in Security…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Forbes on Cross-Straits relations and the election

You got it wrong if you thought the two words were the name of a political party, a campaign slogan or some love-and-peace catchall. There’s no profanity or even an exclamation mark. The two words that will determine whether China and Taiwan can keep p…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Quoted In VICE News On US Arms Sales To Taiwan

Last week, the White House officially notified Congress of a wide-ranging arms deal with Taiwan, worth $1.83 billion. China reacted by summoning a US envoy over the matter andthreatening sanctions on some of the American compan…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Quoted In The Los Angeles Times On US Arms Sales To Taiwan

The U.S. will sell $1.83 billion in arms to Taiwan, including two guided-missile frigates, amphibious assault vehicles, surface-to-air missiles and other equipment, the White House told Congress on Wednesday. -snip-   But Alan Romberg, East Asia p…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Quoted In Forbes On Taiwan’s Open Government

An investor probing the world for information on places to park money would probably inquire first with Western governments with a long-standing reputation for open records. But this year shoppers for information on data such as government spending, el…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in The Associated Press on China-Taiwan Talks

Taiwanese President Ma Ying-jeou is running into skepticism at home over his impending historic meeting with China’s president, aimed at locking in the dialogue that he has built — from zero — with Beijing during his nearly eight years in office. No de…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Deutsche Welle on China-Taiwan Talks

The highly symbolic meeting between Taiwan’s President Ma Ying-jeou and Chinese leader Xi Jinping is scheduled to take place in Singapore on November 7. The summit will be keenly watched across the world for any hints as to the direction of the bilater…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Forbes on China and Taiwan

The Nationalists still have a chance to win something in January, however, and here’s how. Party Chairman Eric Chu is widely tipped to be the new candidate. The man who’s also mayor of Taiwan’s largest city is clean as far as anyone knows, not widely d…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Cited In China Review News On President Obama’s Reference To Taiwan

中评社华盛顿9月28日电(记者 余东晖)习近平和奥巴马25日在联合记者会上对于台湾问题的不同表现,以及新华社通稿对于台湾问题的表述,这两天在台湾引发诸多猜想。美国权威专家不愿过分解读表面现象,认为要了解习奥会具体谈什么,尤其是在24日私人晚宴中谈了什么才好做判断,但总体而言,美国的基本立场没有改变,而且是向双方发出了信号。  Read the full article here.

Commentary
Xi Jinping comes to Washington

Xi Jinping’s state visit is in America’s essential national interest. Although there is a range of views about how President Obama should handle the visit, there is virtually no disagreement that US-PRC relations are critical across virtually the entir…

Policy Paper
Taiwan And Cross-Strait Relations: Consolidating Positions

In recent weeks all parties within Taiwan and across the Strait have focused on consolidating their positions. Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen, holding a commanding lead in polls, focused on gaining control of the…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg’s Op-Ed in China Leadership Monitor on Consolidating Positions

In recent weeks, candidates in Taiwan’s forthcoming presidential election have focused on consolidating their positions. Democratic Progressive Party candidate Tsai Ing-wen, holding a commanding lead in polls, focused on gaining control of the legislat…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg interviewed in Xinhua News Agency on China

Despite resurrected talks of pessimism in Washington over China-U.S. ties, many Chinese and U.S. experts agreed that Chinese President Xi Jinping’s upcoming state visit to the U.S. could help dispel the qualms and inject fresh momentum into bilate…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Yonhap News on South and North Korea

Military tensions between South and North Korea, which were heightened dramaticlly by an exchange of artillery fire across their heavily armed border, are unlikely to grow out of control and lead to major clashes, a U.S. expert said Thursday.  The…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Forbes on Taiwan’s Election

Taiwan’s ruling party, at odds with much of the public for strengthening relations with old rival China, faced opinion polls last month saying its 2016 presidential candidate lagged the opposition’s by about 20 percentage points. Then a minor party can…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Apple Daily Taiwan on East China/South China Seas peace initiative (Chinese)

總統馬英九今早出席「2015年東亞海域和平論壇」時,暗批前總統李登輝日前指釣魚台是日本的,他說從歷史、地理、地質、國際法方面,這麼多證據都證明釣魚台屬於中華民國,如果國內還有極少數人,仍然只用片面的角度解讀《舊金山和約 》,並忽略其他鐵證如山的史實,硬要說臺灣和釣魚台的主權身分不明,「我身為中華民國總統,是絕對不能接受的」。 -snip- 不過,華府智庫史汀生中心(Stimson Center)東亞研究室主任容安瀾在稍後的論壇中表示,他同意東海和南海和平倡議可以成為典範,大家都希望這兩個倡議可以導向…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in CNA on East China Sea & South China Sea (Chinese)

(中央社記者呂欣憓台北5日電)學者認為,總統馬英九提出的東海和南海和平倡議,顯示出台灣民主的特色。同時有學者提出,有人希望這兩個倡議能讓台灣進入區域對話中,但就目前的現實環境來看不太可能。 -snip- 史汀生研究中心東亞計畫主任容安瀾(Alan D. Romberg)擔任評論人,他同意費學禮的觀點,台灣的位置和利益,可以讓台灣的政府在達成和平協議上有更積極的角色;他也同意馬總統的東海和平倡議和南海和平倡議,可以成為解決主權爭議和建立資源共享的典範。 To read the full article…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in CRNTT Hong Kong on the Taiwan issue (Chinese)

中評社華盛頓7月23日電(記者 余東暉)雖然洪秀柱的異軍突起讓藍營感到振奮,但美國和台灣學界在觀察明年台灣選情時依然看好蔡英文,並對明年選後的兩岸關係走勢無不感到擔憂。這從上周在”布魯金斯學會”舉辦的”兩岸關係研討會”上一覽無餘。 -snip- 台海問題專家容安瀾(Alan Romberg)認為,台灣不會正式宣布獨立,因為台灣人民已經在陳水扁政府下嘗到苦頭,但如果”急獨”狀況真的發生,北京如果沒別的辦法促其轉變的話,就有可能在某種壓力下主動進行扭轉行動。當然北京不會得出結論說對台動武符合其利益,台北…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg cited in China Times on cross-strait relations (Chinese)

華府的布魯京斯研究所本周初舉辦了一場「兩岸關係的回顧與前瞻」的研討會,行政院大陸委員會主任委員夏立言自台北專程來做主題演說,大陸事務雖非他的本行,而且是在「王(郁琦)張(顯耀)事件」後臨危受命,出任艱巨,卻也表現得有聲有色,演說後的答問,則是有問必答,絕不迴避,只是被問到張顯耀事件時,則以事涉機密為由,三緘其口了。 -snip- 一般說來,布魯京斯聽眾的水準較高,聆聽夏立言演講的座無虛席,除了AIT華府總部的官員外,我看到的有AIT前台北辦事處長宋賀德(Harry E. T. Thayer),陶涵(…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Yonhap News on North Korean denuclearization (Korean)

(워싱턴=연합뉴스) 노효동 특파원 = 이란과의 역사적 핵협상 합의에도, 핵문제를 비롯한 북한 이슈에 대한 미국 워싱턴D.C. 전문가들의 분위기는 한마디로 싸늘하다. -snip- 로버트 매닝 애틀랜틱 카운슬 선임연구원은 “북한이 병진 정책을 내걸고 핵무기 개발에 전력 투구하는 상황에서 대화할 필요가 없다”고 말하고 “한국과 미국, 일본은 북한을 핵무기 보유국으로 인정하거나 현재의 핵개발을 인정할 리 만무하며, 따라서 당분간 정책적 변화가 없을 것”이…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in CRNTT Hong Kong on Taiwan’s political development (Chinese)

中評社華盛頓7月14日電(記者 余東暉)美國知名台海問題專家容安瀾(Alan Romberg)分析認為,兩岸關係今後幾年的機遇與挑戰取決於台灣的政治發展與北京的應對之策。從台灣政治發展而言,蔡英文在明年選舉中獲勝的可能性很大,但她目前在兩岸關係上刻意模糊。從大陸的應對而言,北京內部對如何針對民進黨執政有不同看法,但可以肯定的是,洪秀柱若獲勝,會保持目前兩岸關係的”穩定路線”;若蔡英文獲勝,只要不採取挑釁性立場,極不可能發生安全危機,但兩岸目前的官方、半官方聯繫將受嚴重影響,台灣參與國際經濟整合的能力…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Taiwan Today on trilateral cross-strait affairs

An international symposium on Taiwan-mainland China relations wrapped up July 13 at Brookings Institution in Washington, bringing experts and scholars from Taiwan and the U.S. together to exchange views on recent developments in cross-strait affairs. -…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Taiwan DWNews on cross-strait opportunities & challenges (Chinese)

台湾陆委会主委夏立言即将开启上任后的首度访美行程。据悉,夏立言将于13日访问美国华盛顿,并参加智库布鲁金斯研究所举办的研讨会,就回顾与展望两岸关系发表演说。与此同时,大陆国台办主任张志军也将于7月中旬访美,两岸事务主管或将同时在美活动。 综合媒体7月1日报道,根据布鲁金斯(Brookings Institution)公布的消息,夏立言将于美东时间13日参加”海峡两岸关系:回顾与展望前景”研讨会,并发表演说,研讨会将由布鲁金斯研究所东北亚政策研究中心主任卜睿哲(Richard Bush)主持。 To…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Central News Agency on US-Taiwan relationship (Chinese)

(中央社記者廖漢原華盛頓25日專電)美國普林斯頓大學政治學教授柯慶生今天表示,過去擔任國務院亞太副助理國務卿時不喜歡用「台灣議題」來稱呼台灣,台灣不是美中關係的「議題」,是2300萬人的民主。 -snip- 史汀生中心(Stimson Center)東亞研究室主任容安瀾(Alan Romberg)表示,民進黨和黨主席蔡英文的兩岸立場,並未接受北京的說法,但也沒有主動去反對,對當前狀況,也沒有要堅持什麼,這得視北京要如何回應。 To read the full article click h…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in the US China Press on the ‘Taiwan Problem’ (Chinese)

【侨报记者徐一凡华盛顿报道】6月23、24日,美中第7轮美中战略与经济对话和第6轮人文交流高级磋商在华盛顿召开。6月25日,在华盛顿知名智库布鲁金斯学会(Brookings Institute)的约翰·桑顿中国中心(John L. Thornton China Center)举行的一场智库活动结束之后,侨报记者依次采访了几名中国问题专家。专家对此轮对话的看法较为一致,认为对话达成了一定成果,氛围也不错,而”为习近平9月访美做准备”是贯穿其中的主线;因此,更多后续也要留待中国国家习近平访美时继续推进。…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Radio Taiwan International on DPP’s party leader (Chinese)

美國普林斯頓大學政治學教授柯慶生(Thomas Christensen)25日表示,過去擔任國務院主管亞太事務的副助理國務卿時,他不喜歡用「台灣議題」來稱呼台灣,因為台灣並不是美中關係的「議題」,而是2,300萬人的民主;同時,台灣也是美國的安全夥伴,是個奇蹟。 -snip- 史汀生中心(Stimson Center)東亞研究室主任容安瀾(Alan Romberg)表示,民進黨和黨主席蔡英文的兩岸立場,並未接受北京的說法,但也沒有主動去反對,對當前狀況,也沒有要堅持什麼,這得視北京要如何回應。 To…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in UDN.com on Taiwanese elections (Chinese)

洪秀柱代表國民黨參選2016,其「正藍軍」背景讓西方輿論認為她傾向與中國大陸統一。有美國專家就認為,這種看法有失偏頗,洪秀柱絕非「反美親中」。 據中評社報導,美國台海問題專家郝志堅(Dennis Hickey)認為,「只有傻子才會得出懶惰的結論:『親中華民國』就意味著『反美』或『親中華人民共和國』」。 美國另一台海問題專家容安瀾(Alan Romberg)認為,雖然洪秀柱堅持「一中同表」之說,看似超越「九二共識」,但她並無意圖讓台灣從屬於大陸。 To read the full article cl…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Arirang News on Japan-Korea relations

Washington welcomed a possible indication of improving Korea-Japan ties. Korean President Park Geun-hye and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe both expressed hope for better relations at separate ceremonies marking the 50th anniversary of normalization…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in the China Times on Hung Shiu-chu’s cross-Strait policy (Chinese)

獲國民黨中常會核備參選總統的立法院副院長洪秀柱,聲勢持續上漲,只剩7月19日「國民黨全代會確認」的最後一關,就可以取得國民黨2016總統大選參選人資格。華府智庫史汀生中心(Stimson Center)東亞研究室主任容安瀾(Alan Romberg)接受訪問時表示,無論洪秀柱如何設定她的兩岸論述,並不會讓美國感到難堪。 中評社報導,美國知名台海問題專家容安瀾(Alan Romberg)分析,「假設洪秀柱最後成為國民黨的總統參選人,她並沒有意圖讓台灣從屬於大陸,無論洪秀柱如何設定她的兩岸政策,她的戰略…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in IDN News on cross-Strait relations (Chinese)

相對於民進黨的蔡英文,似乎傾美反中;不過兩個女人也有雷同情形,都是留美碩士,蔡英文之後還留英國,取得博士學位。 美國華府智庫史汀森研究中心(Stimson Center)資深學者容安瀾(Alan Romberg)說,「北京將會透過大企業等各種管道來闡述其立場,表明要是台灣人民讓一個不接受過去8年兩岸發展基礎的政府執政,兩岸關係的發展將不會如現在一樣平順」。 To read the full article click here.

Policy Paper
Squaring The Circle: Adhering To Principle, Embracing Ambiguity

Although the ruling Chinese Nationalist Party (Kuomintang or KMT) is only scheduled to name its presidential candidate in mid-June, the campaign has been well under way since late spring. While the KMT has sought to keep public attention focused on cro…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Forbes on Tsai Ing-wen’s campaign

The favorite to win Taiwan’s presidential race next year has made two pledges that would avoid irritating old enemy China. But Chinese officials have said mysteriously little about the statements earlier this month by opposition Democratic Progressive…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in the Taipei Times on US-Taiwan relations

Future US-Taiwan relations would be “conditioned in significant measure” by the way Taipei adopts constructive and effective approaches to cross-strait relations, a former senior US Department of State official said. “Given the potential impact of deve…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg commentary in China Review News (Chinese)

中評社華盛頓6月4日電(記者 余東暉)3日旁聽了蔡英文華府演講的美國台海問題專家容安瀾(Alan Romberg)從蔡講話的字裡行間分析,蔡英文的表態暗示,她很可能不會直接支持”九二共識”或一個中國,但如果當選,其行為可能不會違背之。 To read the full article click here.

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg cited in President Tsai press release on foreign delegation

President Tsai Ing-wen and Vice President Chen Chien-jen, on the morning of May 20 at the Presidential Office Building, met with heads of state, special envoys, and high-ranking government officials from diplomatic allies and friendly nations who were…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Interviewed In Deutsche Welle On Cross-Strait Visit

Eric Chu or Chu Li-luan held talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping and a host of other leaders during his just-concluded three-day trip to China. Although economic ties between China and Taiwan are growing ever closer, desire for political unificatio…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Quoted In Yonhap News On The AIIB

WASHINGTON, March 26 (Yonhap) — South Korea’s decision to participate in the Chinese-led regional development bank AIIB put an end to one of the two most vexing dilemmas the country has grappled with in recent months between its biggest trading partne…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg Cited In Taipei Times On Beijing

Unless Beijing significantly reduces the size and scope of its military threat, Washington will feel compelled to approve major new weapons sales to Taiwan “at various times in the future,” a report from the Carnegie Endowment said.   -snip-…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Taipei Times on Taiwan And China

Former American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) managing director Barbara Schrage’s recent remarks expressing doubt that Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Chairperson and prospective presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) is capable of handling cross-str…

Policy Paper
The Times They Are A-Changin’

If Beijing was surprised by the extent of public support in Taiwan for the “Sunflower Movement” last spring,1 along with everyone else they were stunned by the extent of the KMT debacle in the November 29, 2014, “9-in-1” local elections. For the Mainla…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Deutche Welle on the new Kuomintang chairman

Eric Chu (also Chu Li-luan), mayor of New Taipei city, stood unopposed for the party leadership on Saturday, January 17, and was elected with 99.6 percent of the total votes cast by party members, the Kuomintang (KMT) said. Shortly after his election w…

Commentary
Obama and Xi Jinping Need to Probe Deeper When They Meet in Beijing

President Obama and Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet for a full day of bilateral consultations on Nov. 12. Many observers have set the goal as maximizing “win-win” cooperation and “managing” areas of disagreement. Perhaps this is realistic, and i…

Stimson in the News
Alan D. Romberg op-ed in The Hill on Obama and Xi Jinping meeting

President Obama and Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet for a full day of bilateral consultations on Nov. 12. Many observers have set the goal as maximizing “win-win” cooperation and “managing” areas of disagreement. Perhaps this is realistic, and i…

Policy Paper
Cross-Strait Relations:Portrayals of Consistency. Calm on the Surface, Paddling Like Hell Underneath

Alan Romberg’s latest China Leadership Monitor article, “Cross-Strait Relations: Portrayals of Consistency. Calm on the Surface, Paddling Like Hell Underneath” While in reality adjusting to an evolving situation both on Taiwan and in cross-St…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg discusses PRC attitudes toward Cross-Strait relations

In over six years since the inauguration of President Ma Ying-jeou, relations between Taiwan and mainland China have reached unprecedented levels of political, economic, and social exchange. As Ma approaches the end of his term in office and Xi Jinping…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg interviewed for Taiwan Security Research

Rather than airing internal differences over a proposed freeze of the DPP charter’s independence clause at the July 20th DPP National Party Congress, Tsai Ing-wen sent the freeze proposal to the party’s Central Executive Committee for consideration. Ta…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg featured in Voice of America podcast on the driving geopolitical issues of East Asia

To listen to the interview in full, click here. 

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg interviewed by The Diplomat on recent developments in cross-strait relations

The Diplomat’s Kelwin Choi recently sat down with Alan D. Romberg, distinguished fellow and the director of the East Asia program at the Stimson Center in Washington, DC, to discuss cross-Strait relations, the Trans-Pacific Partnership and the East Chi…

Commentary
East Asian Security

Long before the Obama era “pivot” or “rebalance” to Asia, Stimson scholars were working on Asian security issues, with a particular focus on northeast Asia.  The program has focused for the past fifteen years on areas of possible conflict, their c…

Report
Future East Asian Security Architecture: Implications for the PLA

Alan D. Romberg contributed the following analysis as chapter twelve of “Assessing the Threat”, a book published by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. “Security architecture” is too grand a term for what currently exists in East Asia and w…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg’s op-ed on Chinese diplomat’s visit to Taiwan published in The Hill

The director of China’s Taiwan Affairs Office, Zhang Zhijun, will visit Taiwan this week. He is the most senior People’s Republic of China (PRC) official to visit the island since Chiang Kai-shek fled there in 1949, and he comes to reciprocate a visit…

Policy Paper
Sunshine Heats Up Taiwan Politics, Affects PRC Tactics

Alan D. Romberg’s latest essay, “Sunshine Heats Up Taiwan Politics, Affects PRC Tactics,” will appear in the forthcoming issue of China Leadership Monitor. In Taiwan this spring, domestic political developments attracted more attention than those…

Commentary
Barack Obama goes to Asia

On his recent trip to Asia, President Obama had some very broad objectives. He wanted to tie U.S. policy in Northeast Asia and Southeast Asia more closely together. And he wanted to engage the region on a global agenda. But beyond following Woody Allen…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg quoted in Taipei Times on China’s concern on possible DPP victory in Taiwan

Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) and other Chinese Communist Party leaders are concerned about what might happen if the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) wins Taiwan’s 2016 presidential election, a leading US analyst said. In a paper that might help…

Policy Paper
From Generation to Generation: Advancing Cross-Strait Relations

Alan D. Romberg’s latest essay, “From Generation to Generation: Advancing Cross-Strait Relations,” appears in the latest issue of China Leadership Monitor. When PRC leader Xi Jinping met with the Taiwan’s former vice president, Vincent Siew,…

Commentary
Taiwan: Consolidating Stability

The leadership transition in Taiwan in 2008 was an important turning point in cross-Strait relations. The Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) Chen Shui-bian administration, seemingly determined to press for formal Taiwan independence, was replaced by…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg’s article on Taiwan is publised in the CSCAP Regional Outlook

The leadership transition in Taiwan in 2008 was an important turning point in cross-Strait relations. The Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) Chen Shui-bian administration, seemingly determined to press for formal Taiwan independence, was replaced by…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg’s op-ed on China’s air defense ID zone is published in International Business Times

China’s announcement on Saturday that it has created an Air Defense Identification Zone in the East China Sea — including airspace over a small group of islands claimed by both China and Japan — has prompted serious concerns and sharply worded protes…

Commentary
China’s Creation Of Air Defense ID Zone In East China Sea Raises Concerns In Tokyo And US

China’s announcement on Saturday that it has created an Air Defense Identification Zone in the East China Sea — including airspace over a small group of islands claimed by both China and Japan — has prompted serious concerns and sharply worded protes…

Policy Paper
Settling in for the Long Haul: Stability with Chinese Characteristics

Alan D. Romberg’s latest essay, “Settling in for the Long Haul: Stability with Chinese Characteristics”, appears in the latest issue of China Leadership Monitor. The political turmoil created in Taiwan by the Kuomintang’s (KMT) move to oust Legislative…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg participated in a seminar to promote engagement across the Taiwan Strait

China has taken a new step to promote engagement across the Taiwan Strait, according to local media reports. A new fund was set up in Beijing Wednesday to help finance more civilian cross-strait exchange programs or activities in the future. It was the…

Policy Paper
American Interests in the Senkaku/Diaoyu Issue, Policy Considerations

This paper was originally prepared for a report presented at the Center for Naval Analyses April 11 workshop. This workshop report presents an overview of the issues discussed and the papers contributed by individual panelists who are recognized expert…

Commentary
The Sunnylands Summit: Keeping North Korea in Perspective

Reports on the Sunnylands Summit between Xi Jinping and Barack Obama last week have hailed progress in Sino-American cooperation on North Korea. That’s fair enough, but to understand what that progress consisted of-and what it did not-it might be usefu…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg’s Op-Ed On The China Summit And North Korea Is Published At 38 North

Reports on the Sunnylands Summit between Xi Jinping and Barack Obama last week have hailed progress in Sino-American cooperation on North Korea. That’s fair enough, but to understand what that progress consisted of-and what it did not-it might be usefu…

Stimson in the News
Commentary by Alan Romberg on U.S.-China summit is published in BBC

Although Mr Obama and Mr Xi will want to discuss some critical specific issues – among them cybersecurity, economic and trade relations, North Korea and their respective military policies – this summit is clearly aimed at creating a productive working…

Commentary
U.S.-China Summit Offers Chance at Improved Relations

The summit meeting between President Obama and Chinese President Xi Jinping scheduled for June 7 and 8 in Rancho Mirage, Calif., could help the two leaders move closer to their stated goal of creating a “new type of major power relationship.” The chall…

Stimson in the News
Alan D. Romberg quoted in The Hill on improved US-China relations

The summit meeting between President Obama and Chinese President Xi Jinping scheduled for June 7 and 8 in Rancho Mirage, Calif., could help the two leaders move closer to their stated goal of creating a “new type of major power relationship.” The chall…

Commentary
Presidential Inbox 2013: Find the Right Balance in Asia Policy

The Presidential Inbox series gives Stimson experts a chance to offer their views on key international security challenges and pragmatic steps the Obama Administration can take to resolve or manage those challenges in the coming year.  Click …

Commentary
Alan D. Romberg’s Latest Article is Featured in China Leadership Monitor 40

Alan D. Romberg’s latest article “Following the 18th Party Congress: Moving Forward Step-by-Step” appears in the recent issue of the Hoover Institute’s China Leadership Monitor. “The 18th Party Congress laid out a “steady on course” approach to cross-S…

Commentary
Alan D. Romberg’s latest article is featured in the China Leadership Monitor 39

Alan D. Romberg’s article “Shaping the Future, Part II: Cross-Strait Relations” appears in the latest issue of the Hoover Institute’s China Leadership Monitor. “Beijing breathed a sigh of relief after Ma Ying-jeou’s re-election victory in January and r…

Policy Paper
After the Taiwan Election: Planning for the Future

Alan D. Romberg has published a new essay, “After the Taiwan Elections, Planning for the Future,” which appears in the current issue of China Leadership Monitor. With a stronger than expected victory over the Democratic Progressive Party’s Tsai Ing-wen…

Policy Paper
After the Taiwan Election: Planning for the Future

Alan D. Romberg has published a new essay, “After the Taiwan Elections, Planning for the Future,” which appears in the current issue of China Leadership Monitor. With a stronger than expected victory over the Democratic Progressive Party’s Tsai Ing-wen…

Commentary
Taiwan Elections Head to the Finish: Concerns, Cautions, and Challenges

“Taiwan Elections Head to the Finish: Concerns, Cautions, and Challenges” appears in the current issue of the China Leadership Monitor by Alan D. Romberg, Distinguished Fellow and Director of the East Asia Program at the Stimson Center. Two major polit…

Policy Paper
The 2012 Taiwan Election: Off and Running

“The 2012 Taiwan Election: Off and Running” appears in the current issue of the China Leadership Monitor by Alan D. Romberg, Distinguished Fellow and Director of the East Asia Program at the Stimson Center.   The focus of cross-Strait relatio…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg comments on the future of U.S.-Taiwan relations

Alan Romberg shared his insight into U.S.-Taiwan Relations with Taiwan’s Central News Agency in Chinese. Click here to read the original interview.

Commentary
Article by Alan Romberg in China Leadership Monitor 34

Cross-Strait Relations: Setting the Stage for 2012 Various developments throughout the latter half of 2010 and the early weeks of 2011 began to set the stage for changes in both Taiwan and the Mainland leading up to the Taiwan presidential elections an…

Report
New Angles On Iraq: Views Of The Stimson Center’s Experts

The Henry L. Stimson Center presents a collection of short essays on various aspects of the Iraq policy challenge prepared by our experts. We have drawn on the Center’s distinct areas of expertise in managing threats from weapons of mass destruction an…

Commentary
Alan Romberg’s article “U.S. and South Korea Navies Send a Message” on CNN website

Alan Romberg recently had an article on the CNN website entitled “U.S. and S. Korea navies send a message.” He argued that the recent large-scale U.S.-South Korean naval exercise had several purposes.  Most important was to send a message to Pyong…

Commentary
Alan Romberg’s presentation at the 6th Hankyoreh-Busan International Symposium

INTRODUCTION From the time it took office in January 2009, the Obama Administration adopted a new point of departure for policy in Northeast Asia. It had two important elements: renewed attention to East Asia as a whole, and the placing of North Korean…

Policy Paper
Managing the Cross Strait Issue

By Alan Romberg This paper was prepared for a Track II dialogue on reducing strategic mistrust between the United States and China sponsored by the National Committee on American Foreign Policy and Tsinghua University. The paper will appear, along with…

Commentary
Next Steps on North Korea: Options Beyond Sanctions

Discussion with Alan D. Romberg, Michael Swaine, and Randall Schriver On October 12, 2006, the Henry L. Stimson Center partnered with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (CEIP) to hold a discussion on the road ahead in the wake of North Kore…

Policy Paper
Permanent Peace on the Korean Peninsula: Quixotic Quest or Source of Stability?

This article was published in Korea and World Affairs Vol. 30, No.Fall 2006). Korea and World Affairs is published by the Research Center for Peace and Unification of Korea, Hallym Institute of Advanced International Studies. The essay examines the pot…

Commentary
Maintaining momentum with North Korea

This commentary appeared originally in PacNet Newsletter on September 8, 2005. Pyongyang’s two-week postponement of the Six-Party Talks may have been designed simply to demonstrate that North Korea will not negotiate under pressure.  In defen…

Commentary
Resolving the North Korean Nuclear Issue and Bringing Peace to the Peninsula: An Appraisal of U.S.

November 2003 In this article, Alan Romberg discusses American attitudes and policies toward the North Korean nuclear issue, toward long-term Peninsula stability, and how they interact.  He argues that the lack of an American strategy  — ind…

Policy Paper
Dealing with North Korea: The Key Foreign Policy and Security Challenge for the U.S.-ROK Alliance

  Occasional Paper 49 by Alan D. Romberg This paper was published by Alan Romberg in preparation for the New Strategy Institute of Korea Colloquium on “Korea-U.S. Alliance: Reaffirming the Cooperative Partnership” in Seoul on June 12, 2003. An exc…

Commentary
North Korea: So If the Banking Issue Is Resolved, What’s Next?

By Alan D. Romberg – Reports from Seoul, Moscow and Washington indicate that a way has been found to transfer $25 million of North Korean funds from the tainted Macau Banco Delta Asia (BDA) to a DPRK account in Russia via an American bank. This would p…

Commentary
The North Korea Nuclear Crisis: A Strategy for Negotiations

  by Alan D. Romberg and Michael Swaine For the United States, any negotiating strategy must aim to achieve the complete, verifiable abandonment by North Korea of its nuclear weapons program. It is by no means clear that North Korea will ultimatel…

Commentary
North Korean Threat Spirals Toward Disaster

  by Alan D. Romberg and Michael D. Swaine Originally published in the International Herald Tribune on March 27, 2003. A Greater Danger WASHINGTON  While the world’s attention is riveted on Iraq, the United States cannot afford to ignore anot…

Commentary
Politicians Jockey For Position In Taiwan’s 2007–2008 Elections, While Japan Jockeys For Position

“Politicians Jockey for Position in Taiwan’s 2007-2008 Elections, While Japan Jockeys for Position Across the Strait” by Alan D. Romberg is in the China Leadership Monitor, No. 20, Winter 2007. The China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover In…

Commentary
Alan D. Romberg comments on ECFA, the cross-strait economic agreement

Alan D. Romberg comments on ECFA, the cross-strait economic agreement for Focus Taiwan News Channel. Read the article here.

Report
Ma at Mid-Term: Challenges for Cross-Strait Relations

Ma at Mid-Term: Challenges for Cross-Strait Relations by Alan D. Romberg In his inaugural address in May 2008, Ma Ying-jeou laid out a vision for cross-Strait relations that was at once ambitious but also grounded in the reality of Taiwan’s political d…

Policy Paper
“All Economics is Political: ECFA Front and Center “

“All Economics is Political: ECFA Front and Center ” is a new essay by Distinguished Fellow Alan D. Romberg from Issue 32 of the China Leadership Monitor

Policy Paper
“2010: The Winter of PRC Discontent”

“2010: The Winter of PRC Discontent” is a new essay by Distinguished Fellow Alan D. Romberg from Issue 31 of the China Leadership Monitor.

Stimson in the News
Interview in CNA with Stimson Distinguished Fellow Alan D. Romberg on US Arms Sales to Taiwan

In this interview with Central News Agency, Stimson Distinguished Fellow Alan D. Romberg discusses US arms sales to Taiwan (available in Chinese only).

Policy Paper
“Cross-Strait Relations: Weathering the Storm”

“Cross-Strait Relations: Weathering the Storm” is a new essay by Distinguished Fellow Alan D. Romberg that will be printed in Issue 30 of the China Leadership Monitor.    PDF available here.

Stimson in the News
Alan D. Romberg: Obama’s First Trip to China Will Highlight his China Policy

In this interview from the Central News Agency (Taiwan) Alan D. Romberg discusses President Obama’s first trip to China and how the administration is framing its China policy.

Commentary
US-Taiwan Relations: Looking Forward

Presentation at CSIS conference on US-Taiwan Relations in a New Era: Looking Forward 30 Years after the Taiwan Relations Act By Alan Romberg, Distinguished Fellow and Director, East Asia program, Stimson Center April 22, 2009 President Ma told us earli…

Commentary
Remarks to Conference on the Impact of Deteriorating North-South Relations on Six-Party Process

Sponsored by USKI, CSIS, and USIP Alan D. Romberg The Henry L. Stimson Center April 16, 2009 One is tempted to begin—and perhaps end—remarks on this topic by asking “What Six-Party Process”? The finality of the announcement that North Korea would “neve…

Commentary
Cross-Strait Relations: First the Easy, Now the Hard

April 2009   After two rounds of renewed cross-Strait dialogue in 2008, PRC President Hu Jintao took the initiative at the end of the year to put forward an ambitious agenda for advancing the relationship and consolidating it for the long run. He…

Commentary
“Cross-Strait Moderation And The United States”

Richard Bush and Alan D. Romberg comment on a recent article by Professor Robert Sutter about the changes occurring between the PRC and Taiwan and the implications for United States interests.   For the full text of the article, click here.

Policy Paper
“Cross-Strait Relations: “Ascend the Heights and Take a Long-term Perspective”

To put it in Dickensian terms, the recent period has seen both the best of times and the worst of times for Taiwan. Significant progress has been made on many aspects of cross-Strait relations, primarily in the economic realm but in some respects exten…

Report
Innovative Ideas for Global Security

The Obama Administration came into office with the promise of change and now faces the practitioner’s dillema – where do we start? Stimson, a think tank devoted to nonpartisan research and analysis, presents a set of practical steps the new Administrat…

Report
Rethinking Northeast Asia

The Challenge Simultaneously nurturing bilateral relations with a rising China while reinvigorating relations with Japan and Korea—key American allies in Northeast Asia—will be a delicate but urgent challenge for the Obama Administration. Each relation…

Policy Paper
Cross-Strait Relations: First the Easy Steps, Then the Difficult Ones

“Cross-Strait Relations: First the Easy Steps, Then the Difficult Ones” by Alan D. Romberg appears in China Leadership Monitor, No. 26, Fall 2008. China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Sta…

Issue Brief
After the Taiwan Election: Restoring Dialogue while Reserving Options

“After the Taiwan Election: Restoring Dialogue while Reserving Options” by Alan D. Romberg appears in China Leadership Monitor, No. 25, Summer 2008. China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanfo…

Stimson in the News
Alan Romberg: Election Victor Must Heal Societal Rifts

Alan D. Romberg, Distinguished Fellow and Director of the East Asia Program at the Henry L. Stimson Center in Washington, D.C., discusses with Jorge Liu of the Central News Agency of Taiwan the future Ma Ying-jeou adminstration in Taiwan. Text in Chine…

Commentary
Taiwan Elections: Foundation for the Future

“Taiwan Elections: Foundation for the Future” by Alan D. Romberg appears in China Leadership Monitor, No. 24, Spring 2008. China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanford University.   The…

Commentary
Cross-Strait Relations: In Search of Peace

“Cross-Strait Relations: In Search of Peace” by Alan D. Romberg appears in China Leadership Monitor, No. 23, Winter 2008. China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanford University. The presiden…

Policy Paper
Future Cross-Strait Relations and a Possible Modus Vivendi

A paper presented at the Foundation for International and Cross-Strait Studies-Brookings Institution Conference on Washington-Taipei-Beijing Relations: Variables & Prospects   Cross-Strait economic relations are robust, but there is stalemate…

Commentary
PacNet 45 – The U.S. “One China” Policy: Time For A Change?

This article appeared in November’s PacNet 45 by the CSIS Pacific Forum.  It is based on Alan Romberg’s speech at the 16th Annual Charles Neuhauser Memorial Lecture at the John K. Fairbank Center of Harvard University on Oct. 24, 2007.  For t…

Commentary
Applying to the UN “In The Name Of ‘Taiwan'”

By Alan D. Romberg – “Playing politics” to win votes is pretty normal fare. In the case of Taiwan, however, “playing politics” can sometimes be akin to playing with fire. The decision of Taiwan’s two primary political parties to propose competing refer…

Commentary
The U.S. “One China” Policy: Time for a Change?

This is the text of the 16th Annual Charles Neuhauser Memorial Lecture at the John K. Fairbank Center of Harvard University on October 24, 2007.   Introduction When I told my friend and colleague, Professor Steven Goldstein, Director of the Fairba…

Commentary
Applying to the UN “In The Name Of Taiwan”

“Applying to the UN “in the name of ‘Taiwan’”” by Alan D. Romberg appears in China Leadership Monitor, No. 22, Fall 2007. China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanford University.   The i…

Commentary
Election 2008 and the Future of Cross-Strait Relations

“Election 2008 and the Future of Cross-Strait Relations” by Alan D. Romberg appears in China Leadership Monitor, No. 21, Summer 2007. China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanford University….

Policy Paper
U.S. Strategic Interests in Northeast Asia: 2009 and Beyond

Alan D. Romberg takes a look at key U.S. regional relationships in Northeast Asia. This analysis is based on a paper he presented at the Korea Research Institute for Strategy conference (Strategic Balance in a Turbulent Northeast Asia and ROK’s New App…

Issue Brief
George Bush and Northeast Asia: Anticipating the Final Two Years

After 9/11, many observers depicted the Bush administration as simply ignoring Northeast Asia. The emphasis on alliances announced at the start of the term was seen as totally subordinated to the Global War on Terrorism, Afghanistan and, eventually, Ir…

Commentary
A New Taiwan Representative Will Arrive in Washington, But Taiwan Needs to Prioritize Its Relations

Alan D. Romberg, Senior Associate and Director of the East Asia Program at the Henry L. Stimson Center in Washington, D.C., discusses with Jorge Liu of the Central News Agency of Taiwan the assignment of a new Taiwan Representative to the United States…

Stimson in the News
Chen Shui-Bian’s “Four Wants, One Is Not” Statement May Provoke Washington

Alan D. Romberg, Senior Associate and Director of the East Asia Program at the Henry L. Stimson Center in Washington, D.C., was interviewed on 6 March 2007 by Jorge Liu of the Central News Agency of Taiwan. Both the English and Chinese versions are bel…

Stimson in the News
Taiwan Popular Opinion is More Important than Party Standing in KMT Chair Ma Ying-jeou’s Future

  Alan D. Romberg, Senior Associate and Progam Director of the Henry L. Stimson Center’s East Asia Program, was interviewed on 14 February 2007 by Jorge Liu of Taiwan’s Central News Agency on the political ramifications of KMT Party Chairman Ma Yi…

Policy Paper
The Role of the United States in Northeast Asia in the Wake of the North Korean Nuclear Test

This paper was presented at the conference “”The North Korean Nuclear Test and the Future of Northeast Asia” hosted by the Asia Foundation on December 4, 2006. In the most fundamental sense, the US security role in Northeast Asia is no different in the…

Report
Taiwan: All Politics, All the Time

“Taiwan: All Politics, All the Time” by Alan D. Romberg is in the China Leadership Monitor, No. 19, Fall 2006. The China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolusion, and Peace at Stanford University. Recent developments…

Issue Brief
The Taiwan Tangle

“The Taiwan Tangle” by Alan D. Romberg is in the China Leadership Monitor, No. 18, Spring 2006. The China Leadership Monitor is sponsored by the Hoover Institution on War, Revolusion, and Peace at Stanford University. On 27 February 2006, Taiwan’s pres…

Commentary
Recent Developments in Taiwan: Politics in Command–But at What Cost?

  Recent Developments in Taiwan: Politics in Command–But at What Cost? Alan D. Romberg This article originally appeared on PacNet Newsletter published by Pacific Forum/CSIS on February 14, 2006.  Recent statements by Taiwan President Chen Sh…

Policy Paper
The East Asia Summit: Much Ado About Nothing–So Far

  This essay originally appeared in December 2005 issue of Freeman Report by the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, DC as a featured essay.   The United States appeared to be of at least two minds about the December…

Commentary
The 4th Round of Six-Party Talks: Negotiating for Success

  This commentary originally appeared in PacNet Newsletter on July 21, 2005. As we look to the resumption of the Six-Party Talks July 26, press reports indicate the U.S. sees this as a make-or-break effort: if there is no progress, the talks will…

Commentary
The Perspectives from Beijing

Alan D. Romberg gave this presentation at a roundtable discussion at the Atlantic Council entitled “The Japan Factor in Cross-Strait Relations” on April 22, 2005.  The dramatic complaints on China’s part against Japan is not only an issue of histo…

Commentary
Promoting Cross-Strait Stability: Avoiding Catastrophe

In this op-ed piece that appeared in CSIS PacNet Newsletter, Alan D. Romberg argues that the anti-secession law to be passed by National People’s Congress of China could seriously escalate tensions across Taiwan Strait and threaten vital US national se…

Book
Across The Taiwan Strait: From Confrontation To Cooperation, 2006–2012

The East Asia-China program has published a three-volume set of Director and Senior Associate Alan Romberg’s writings on cross-Strait relations over the past six years. Originally published online by the Hoover Institution, these volumes provide a thor…

Policy Paper
Cross-Strait Relations: Avoiding War, Managing Peace

In this occasional paper for the Chinese Council of Advanced Policy Studies in Taipei, Alan D. Romberg discuss the developments in the cross-Strait relations in the aftermath of March 2004 presidential election in Taiwan.  2004 Election of Ta…

Policy Paper
Political and Strategic Implications for China’s Growth

On September 10 2004, a conference paper Political and Strategic Implications for China’s Growth, written by Alan D. Romberg, was delivered on his behalf at the conference “China’s Growth and the World Economy”, sponsored by People’s University of Chin…

Commentary
US Policy After the Taiwan Election: Divining the Future

This is an address given by Alan D. Romberg at the SAIS China Forum on March 10, 2004. The coming election in Taiwan could constitute an important turning point for the future cross-Strait relations and US policy. The issue lies in the tension between…

Commentary
Support Taiwan Democracy, Not Referendums

  In this opinion piece that originally appeared CSIS PacNet Newsletter and then was reprinted in The Asia Times, Alan D. Romberg discusses recent developments in Taiwan and US policy toward Taiwan.   A brief synposis appears below….

Commentary
Six-Party Talk, Round Two: In Search of a US Policy

In this short op-ed piece, Alan D. Romberg discusses how the United States policy should be crafted toward the six-party talk concerning the North Korea nuclear problem.  Romberg argues that the Bush administration lacks a practical poli…

Commentary
Q: Will President Bush’s stance on Taiwan undermine democracy in East Asia?

No: Bush rightly rebuked Taiwan for recklessly tilting toward independence   In this excerpt taken from the January 19, 2004 edition of Insight on the News,  Alan Romberg discusses President Bush’s recent stance toward Taiwan President C…

Report
The US-PRC-ROK Triangle: Managing the Future

This report was published in January 2004 by the Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security as part of a three-volume series entitled Coping with Korea’s Security Challenges. Different perspectives on the North Korean nuclear issue have ma…

Book
China and Missile Defense: Managing US-PRC Strategic Relations

There is a growing consensus in the United States and among its chief European allies that some level of missile defense protection is warranted if it proves technically and financially feasible, but the prospect of missile defense constitutes a wild c…

Report
Transatlantic Dialogue on China: Final Report

China’s rise will pose fundamental challenges to the United States and Europe, both  separately and in their political relations with one another. Although U.S. and European leaders for the foreseeable future will remain focused on more pressing n…

Report
China and Missile Defense: Managing US-PRC Strategic Relations

As the United States has considered options for a missile defense system, it was natural enough to focus first on gaining the acquiescence of Russia, its ABM Treaty partner. But the result is that China has been insufficiently taken into account. Unles…

Issue Brief
Taiwan and U.S. Policy: The Diplomatic Dimension

  We are asked to address the key political and diplomatic factors in political and security relations among the U.S., Taiwan and the PRC and why those factors are important; what diplomatic trends and developments will influence those relations,…

Policy Paper
Addressing the Taiwan Question: The U.S. Role

With regards to U.S. policy towards the Taiwan Strait, Alan Romberg argues that the important point is to determine U.S. interests and to be consistent.  That consistency may not always be comfortable for Americans in political or other terms….

Policy Paper
Some Thoughts on Cross-Strait Relations

In this analysis on relations between the People’s Republic of China and Taiwan, Alan Romberg argues that both sides of the Strait are focusing on creating stronger economic relations. Nonetheless, the ways in which both sides address economi…

Report
“China’s Sacred Territory, Taiwan Island:” Some Thoughts on American Policy

The American entanglement with Taiwan is rooted in events going back over fifty years. In this paper, Alan Romberg reviews some of those events, beginning with President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s insistence at Cairo in November 1943—reaffirmed at Potsdam…

Policy Paper
Taking Exception To A U.S.-PRC “Fourth Communiqué”

In this paper, Alan Romberg agrees that there are problems in the U.S.-PRC relationship. He disagrees, however, with suggestions that the United States and the PRC should negotiate a “fourth communiqué” to update the 1972, 1978, and 1982 joint communiq…

Policy Paper
Taiwan in US-PRC Relations: A Strategic Perspective

  As George W. Bush campaigned for the presidency during the year 2000, and as he settled into office in the first months of 2001, he and his team sought to distinguish themselves from Clinton Administration policies in a variety of areas.  N…

Policy Paper
Taiwan and U.S.-PRC Relations

There is a well-known history of enmity and even war between the United States and China in the decades immediately following the establishment of the People’s Republic of China.  Still, by the early 1970s American China specialists and some other…

Book
Rein In at the Brink of the Precipice: American Policy Toward Taiwan and U.S.-PRC Relations

While America and China were drawn together thirty-five years ago by shared strategic imperatives, the Taiwan issue still stood as the paramount obstacle to full diplomatic -normalized- relations. Because of its domestic and international complexity fo…

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