India and Pakistan see their pursuit of better precision-strike tactical
missiles as protecting them from coercion by the other side, but in
reality they are creating more possibilities for dangerous strategic miscalculation, a U.S. intelligence official said on Wednesday.
“While Pakistan may feel confident that it has checked Cold Start …
proliferation of more accurate systems opens the door to precision
strike scenarios below the nuclear threshold,” [intelligence official Rob] Williams told an audience
at a Stimson Center event. “Pakistan arguably may be able to now deter a
major conventional (assault) but the increased accuracy of these
systems opens the door for precision strikes (by India) on the assessed
sources of terrorism.”
Stimson Center co-founder Michael Krepon suggested that were the United
States to sell India missile defense technology, it would only speed up
the arms race in South Asia.
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