The Nonproliferation Scorecard
The History:
Beginning in 1991, the United States and Russia launched a multilateral initiative to cooperatively denuclearize Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine, to disassemble strategic warheads deemed excess to Russian security, to secure "loose" nuclear materials throughout the former Soviet Union, to dramatically reduce unsecured Russian stockpiles of chemical agents, and to redirect former nuclear, chemical and biological weapons scientists to peaceful pursuits.
The Threat:
The most pressing threat is found in the remnants of a failed WMD-armed Soviet empire, the territory of which now comprises fifteen independent states spanning twelve time zones. The main threat emanates from Russia, which maintains an arsenal of an estimated 15,000 nuclear warheads, and has an estimated 186 metric tons of plutonium and 1,025 metric tons of highly enriched uranium-enough to build approximately 64,000 warheads.
A recent CIA report faulted the security of Russian nuclear
arsenal facilities, noting that "undetected smuggling has occurred." In
addition, the numbers, locations and security of Russia's thousands of
tactical nuclear weapons are unknown, as these weapons are not governed
by any treaty. These weapons, because of their smaller size and greater
portability, are highly desirable to terrorist groups or states. In
October 2001, the U.S. government became concerned that al Qaeda had
smuggled a 10-kiloton nuclear warhead into New York City. If placed in
lower Manhattan, such a device would likely kill 250,000 people,
seriously injure tens of thousands more, and render the entire area
uninhabitable for decades to come. The U.S. government treated this
threat as highly credible partly because a Russian nuclear commander had
recently reported that he could not account for a 10-kilton warhead
ostensibly under his control.
The Response:
Since 1992, the Department of Defense, the Department of Energy and the State Department have made impressive headway in eliminating these threats, but much more remains to be done. Below we offer a quick overview of the progress made by the different US agencies involved in addressing this threat.
Department of Defense
Cooperative Threat Reduction (Nunn-Lugar) Program
7,292 of 13,300
nuclear warheads deactivated
720
of 1,473 intercontinental
ballistic missiles (ICBMs) destroyed
496
of 831 intercontinental
ballistic missiles silos eliminated
131
of 442 mobile intercontinental
ballistic missiles launchers destroyed
155 of 233
strategic bombers eliminated
906
of 906 nuclear air-to-surface
missiles (ASMs) destroyed
456
of 728 submarine launched
ballistic missile (SLBM) launchers eliminated
631 of 936 submarine launched ballistic missiles eliminated
31 of 48 ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs) destroyed
194 of 194 nuclear test tunnels/holes sealed
399 of 620 nuclear weapons transport train shipments
17 of 24
nuclear weapons storage site security upgrades
15 of 55
biological monitoring stations built and equipped
99.7% of the Chemical Weapons
Destruction Facility (CWDF) is designed
52.5% of the Chemical Weapons Destruction Facility is
constructed
289 former
weapons scientists engaged in Cooperative Biological Research
Department of Energy
Defense Nuclear Nonproliferation (NA-20) Programs
39 of 39
Navy nuclear warhead sites with completed security upgrades
11 of 11
Naval sites storing nuclear fuel and other materials secured
25 of 25
Strategic Rocket Forces (SRF) sites with security upgrades
19 of 31
civilian nuclear sites with completed security upgrades
193 of 225 Russian buildings containing nuclear material secured
11 of 17 metric tons of highly enriched uranium converted to low
enriched uranium under the Material Consolidation
and Conversion program
160 of 350
strategic border crossing sites in Russia outfitted with radiation
detection equipment
11,000+
export control specialists trained on WMD detection
23 of 75
Megaports equipped with radiation detection equipment
346
of 500 metric tons of highly
enriched uranium rendered useless for weapons under the HEU purchase
agreement
563 of 3,300 high priority radiological sites
secured around the world
61
of 129 reactors using highly
enriched uranium converted to use low enriched uranium
824 kilograms of Russian-origin highly
enriched uranium repatriated to Russia
1,195 kilograms of US-origin highly enriched uranium
repatriated to the US
4,400
new peaceful, civilian jobs have been created through cooperative
programs
Department of State
Nonproliferation Programs
69,218
employees of former weapons institutes engaged by the the International
Science and Technology Center
13,000
former weapons experts engaged by the Science and Technology Center of
Ukraine
35 former bioweapons
facilities received/receiving training on intellectual property,
international regulatory standards, and commercialization through the
BioIndustry Initiative
11
countries completed Export Control and Related Border Security (EXBS)
training
--Last Updated October 2008--



