The J Curve: Regime Transitions and US Foreign Policy


DateFriday, November 9, 2007
LocationSenate Russell, Room 188

Dr. Ian Bremmer, president of the Eurasia Group, will join us for a discussion of the J curve, a model for describing how countries transition from stable, closed autocracies to equally stable, open democracies.  Building on a central relationship between a country’s openness and its stability, in The J Curve: A New Way to Understand How Nations Rise and Fall, Bremmer provides a framework for understanding the pressures that motivate leaders of countries at different points along the J curve.  How can policymakers facilitate movement along the curve towards stable, open regimes?  If political instability can produce terrorist, economic, and other transnational threats, what does the curve imply for U.S. policy toward relatively stable but closed regimes like North Korea, Saudi Arabia, and Iran?