Russell Rumbaugh interviewed and quoted by Politifact

Russell Rumbaugh, director of the Budgeting for Foreign Affairs and Defense program, was recently interviewed and quoted by Politifact. The piece analyzes the veracity of President Obama's promise to expand annual budgeting for military humanitarian aid.

Read the piece here 

Jenna Stern in Devex on sexual abuse by UN peacekeepers

March 04, 2015

In 2004, several allegations of sexual exploitation and abuse by U.N. peacekeepers led then-U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan to ask His Royal Highness Prince Zeid Ra’ad Zeid al-Hussein, permanent representative of Jordan and a former civilian peacekeeper, to prepare a report that

Read More »
Michael Krepon in Dawn on nuclear triangles

March 04, 2015

A SERIOUS nuclear competition between two nuclear-armed rivals is very hard to stabilise. When one rival increases its nuclear capability, the other does, too. Then both rivals feel less secure — even when they possess secure retaliatory capabilities. It’s even harder to stabilise a

Read More »
Lincoln Bloomfield in Washington Times on Egypt and militants in Libya

March 04, 2015

The Egyptian military is preparing to attack Islamic State militants operating in Libya for a second time just as U.S. military leaders are seeking an expanded mandate to stamp out the extremist group in any country where its members reside.

-snip-

“This is a moment where Egyptians

Read More »
Michael Krepon in the Los Angeles Times on negotiating with Iran

March 02, 2015

The negotiating endgame with Iran is upon us. What terms are acceptable? 

U.N. Security Council resolutions dating to 2006 have demanded that Iran suspend its enrichment of uranium, which can be used for bomb making as well as electricity. Israel and many of its supporters in

Read More »
Rachel Stohl in Breaking Defense on drone export policy

March 02, 2015

It seems like drones are everywhere in Washington. A drone landed on the White House lawn, the Federal Aviation Administration released regulations for small commercial drones in U.S. airspace, and, most recently, the State Department finally unveiled a long-awaited policy on

Read More »
Yun Sun in Myanmar Times on the Tatmadaw’s offensive

March 02, 2015

That was in 2009. This time threatens to be different – not just in the intensity of fighting that erupted on February 9, possibly involving several rebel ethnic groups, as well as the scale of the refugee exodus and reports of numerous civilian casualties. The use of social media to

Read More »
Yun Sun in Radio Free Asia on China’s border area with Myanmar

February 27, 2015

Hundreds of ethnic Kokang refugees fled mountain villages close to the Chinese border in northern Myanmar on Thursday after a night of heavy shelling between government forces and rebel troops, local residents said.

-snip-

Yun Sun, East Asia Program fellow at the Washington-based

Read More »
Hana Rudolph in the Diplomat on US and Japanese relations with Thailand

February 27, 2015

The United States and Japan drew international attention this month, as both countries separately marked positive shifts in their relations with Thailand. While the United States kicked off the annual Cobra Gold military exercises – the largest joint military exercise in the

Read More »
Yun Sun in Reuters on the Tatmadaw’s role in Myanmar

February 26, 2015

(Reuters) - Fighting between the Myanmar army and ethnic Chinese rebels has handed the long-feared military a public relations coup, with an explosion of praise on social media and even former political prisoners expressing grudging support.

-snip-

"In the case of Kokang, the

Read More »
Michael Krepon in Arms Control Wonk on nuclear postures

February 26, 2015

Nuclear postures matter. They frame requirements, add to or detract from stability, and can affect outcomes when deterrence fails, which happens more than expected. Vipin Narang covers this ground in his masterful new book, Nuclear Strategy in the Modern Era: Regional Powers and

Read More »
Yun Sun in East West Center on the American anti-China conspiracy in northern Myanmar

February 23, 2015

Myanmar has been a hot topic among Chinese media, general public, and policy experts recently. The arrest of 155 Chinese illegal loggers, together with the resumed conflict in the Kachin State last month and in Kokang this month, pushed Myanmar higher up on China’s priority list.

Read More »
Yun Sun in Straits Times on the commercial ties in northern Myanmar

February 23, 2015

The ongoing war in northern Myanmar pitting its army against the ethnic minority Kokang is a vicious mix of revenge and political brinkmanship. And as it generates tension and refugees across borders, it presents Beijing with no less a dilemma than it does Naypyitaw.

 

-snip-

"Along

Read More »
Yun Sun in The Economist on Myanmar’s border groups

February 23, 2015

JUST before the celebrations of Myanmar’s Union Day, not to mention the Chinese new year, a warlord and drug baron in his 80s, Phone Kyar Shin, created spectacular fireworks of his own. His militia launched blistering attacks on the Burmese army around Laukkai, capital of Kokang, a

Read More »
Joshua T White in Deutsche Wells on US pressure to pursue terrorists in Pakistan

February 19, 2015

Attention in the West has landed on Pakistan's newly empowered military courts and what, if any, political sway the United States carries to press for the pursuit of anti-Indian terrorist groups that have long found safe haven in the country.

-snip-

Dr. Joshua White, a former senior

Read More »
Rachel Stohl in Vice on the foreign sale of military drones

February 19, 2015

The United States has codified how it wants to export drone warfare to the rest of the world.

-snip-

Rachel Stohl, a senior associate at the nonpartisan Stimson Center think tank, notes that the new rules ironically impose stronger requirements on foreign governments than the US

Read More »
Michael Krepon’s column in Arms Control Wonk on “Discriminate Deterrence”

February 19, 2015

One paradox of nuclear deterrence has always been that whatever utility the Bomb provides is lost once the nuclear threshold is crossed, however large or small the boom. There is no bigger blunderbuss than a nuclear weapon atop a long-range missile. Smaller-yield message-senders have

Read More »
Yun Sun in Financial Times on regional security in northern Myanmar

February 19, 2015

Tens of thousands of refugees crossing into China to flee renewed fighting in northern Myanmar risk catapulting Beijing into the country’s fractious political scene as it gears up for national elections late this year.

-snip-

“For China, the strategic importance of Burma

Read More »
Yun Sun in the Diplomat on China and security in northern Myanmar

February 19, 2015

Clashes between Myanmar’s army and armed rebels in the northern border region is endangering the lives of civilians in the area and causing an influx of refugees into China. The current round of fighting, which has been ongoing for nearly 10 days, has displaced tens of thousands of

Read More »
Stimson report cited in The Diplomat

February 18, 2015

The United States will authorize for the first time the export of armed drones to allied nations, according to media reports. The new policy has been announced this Tuesday. The exact rules will remain classified but, according to Reuters, requests by foreign governments will be

Read More »
Yun Sun in Irrawaddy on the Kokang Conflict

February 18, 2015

One week before the Chinese New Year, the former leader of the ethnic Kokang National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA), Peng Jiasheng, launched ferocious attacks on the government military in Kokang. Peng was driven out of power during the Kokang Incident in 2009 and has since

Read More »